NBA Prop Bets: Orlando Magic vs Washington Wizards (March 3, 2026)

The Washington Wizards (16-44) face the Orlando Magic (31-28) at Kia Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup. The Magic opened as 15.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 16.5, leaving the Magic at -1350 and Wizards at +800. The total points line is set at 227.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 122-106 Orlando.

• The Magic (-108) have a 25-34-0 ATS record this season, while the Wizards (-112) hold a record of 26-34-0.
• The Magic have a 30-29-0 O/U record this season (meaning 30 games have gone over the total points line and 29 have gone under). The Wizards have a 32-28-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Magic are averaging 114.6 points per game this season (21st in the league). Comparatively, the Wizards are averaging 112.3 (24th).
• Defensively, the Magic are giving up 114.4 points per game this season (12th in the league), while the Wizards are giving up an average of 123.0 points (29th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Magic currently rank 17th for pace this season, recording 99.4 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Wizards sit 7th on that scale with 101.0 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 38.3% of the Magic's field goal attempts come from three point range (23rd in the league), leaving 61.7% from two. Meanwhile, the Wizards' opponents are taking 41.2% of their attempts from three (21st) and 58.8% from two.
• Comparatively, Washington takes 39.9% of shots from three (19th), leaving 60.1% from two, while Orlando's opponents are attempting 37.7% from three (1st) and 62.3% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Magic are shooting 34.4% from deep in 2025/26 (25th in the NBA), compared to the Wizards who are making 35.6% of their attempts (18th).
• On the opposite end, Orlando is holding opponents to 35.3% of their three-point attempts (11th), while Washington's opponents are hitting 36.6% of their shots (22nd).

Ball Protection

• The Magic are committing 13.8 turnovers per game this season, ranking 7th in the league, while the Wizards are forcing 13.8 turnovers (21st).
• Flipping that script, Orlando is forcing 15.0 turnovers (13th), while Washington is committing 15.4 (T24th).

Crashing the Boards

• Orlando is pulling down 43.4 rebounds per game this season (17th in the league), including 11.1 offensive boards (20th). Conversely, Washington's opponents are averaging 48.1 rebounds (30th), 13.4 of which have come on the offensive end (30th).
• Meanwhile, the Wizards are averaging 43.0 rebounds (22nd) and 11.4 offensive rebounds (14th), while the Magic are allowing 44.0 and 10.7, ranking 15th and 4th.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Magic are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Orlando holds a 6-2 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 5-3-0 ATS record and 3-5-0 O/U record.
• Additionally, Washington has a 3-9 W-L record, 5-7-0 ATS record and 6-6-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.

First Quarter Winner

Orlando is -310 to win the first quarter, while Washington is +250. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Orlando	32-25-2	18-11-1	14-14-1	19-18-2	13-7-0	8-2-0
Washington	19-39-2	13-17-2	6-22-0	1-2-1	18-37-1	3-7-0

First Half Winner

Orlando is -575 to win the first half and Washington is +425. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Orlando	27-29-3	11-17-2	16-12-1	16-20-3	11-9-0	6-4-0
Washington	19-41-0	12-20-0	7-21-0	2-2-0	17-39-0	2-8-0

HT/FT

Orlando is -800 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Washington is +1200.

• The Magic have completed the HT/FT double in 30.5% of games this season, while the Wizards have completed the HT/FT double in 21.7% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Tuesday's matchup is +3000 to go to overtime.

• The Magic have played in four games that went to overtime this season, while the Wizards have appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 26 of Orlando's 59 games this season. Meanwhile, 33 of Washington's 60 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Washington recorded an upset 120-112 victory over Orlando at Capital One Arena when these teams last met on January 6. Alex Sarr had a block party on that day, finishing with five blocks to go along with 23 points. That result snapped the Magic's 11-game winning streak against the Wizards.