NBA Prop Bets: Toronto Raptors vs New York Knicks (March 3, 2026)

The New York Knicks (40-22) face the Toronto Raptors (35-25) at Scotiabank Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup. The Knicks opened as 1.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 2.5, leaving the Knicks at -142 and Raptors at +120. The total points line is set at 221.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 112-110 New York.

The Raptors (-105) have a 31-29-0 ATS record this season, while the Knicks (-115) hold a record of 33-28-1.
The Raptors have a 24-36-0 O/U record this season (meaning 24 games have gone over the total points line and 36 have gone under). The Knicks have a 30-31-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

The Raptors are averaging 114.0 points per game this season (22nd in the league). Comparatively, the Knicks are averaging +3.2 more at 117.2 points (10th).
Defensively, the Raptors are giving up 112.0 points per game this season (8th in the league), while the Knicks are giving up an average of 111.1 points (5th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

The Raptors currently rank 20th for pace this season, recording 98.5 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Knicks sit 24th on that scale with 97.6 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

Looking at field goal splits, 37.2% of the Raptors' field goal attempts come from three point range (25th in the league), leaving 62.8% from two. Meanwhile, the Knicks' opponents are taking 44.5% of their attempts from three (23rd) and 55.5% from two.
Comparatively, New York takes 43.8% of shots from three (8th), leaving 56.2% from two, while Toronto's opponents are attempting 42.8% from three (18th) and 57.2% from two.

Beyond the Arc

In terms of made three-pointers, the Raptors are shooting 34.7% from deep in 2025/26 (22nd in the NBA), compared to the Knicks who are making 37.6% of their attempts (4th).
On the opposite end, Toronto is holding opponents to 34.9% of their three-point attempts (6th), while New York's opponents are hitting 35.7% of their shots (15th).

Ball Protection

The Raptors are committing 13.8 turnovers per game this season, ranking 6th in the league, while the Knicks are forcing 14.4 turnovers (16th).
Flipping that script, Toronto is forcing 15.9 turnovers (4th), while New York is committing 13.5 (4th).

Crashing the Boards

Toronto is pulling down 42.9 rebounds per game this season (23rd in the league), including 11.3 offensive boards (15th). Conversely, New York's opponents are averaging 41.8 rebounds (T5th), 10.2 of which have come on the offensive end (3rd).
Meanwhile, the Knicks are averaging 46.0 rebounds (7th) and 12.9 offensive rebounds (T5th), while the Raptors are allowing 43.5 and 11.2, ranking 12th and 9th.

First Quarter Winner

Toronto is +105 to win the first quarter, while New York is -125. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Toronto	32-26-2	17-14-0	15-12-2	21-14-1	11-12-1	6-4-0
New York	26-33-3	16-15-1	10-18-2	21-27-3	5-6-0	6-4-0

First Half Winner

Toronto is +114 to win the first half and New York is -135. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Toronto	35-25-0	19-12-0	16-13-0	23-13-0	12-12-0	5-5-0
New York	34-28-0	20-12-0	14-16-0	29-22-0	5-6-0	5-5-0

HT/FT

Toronto is +170 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, New York is +100.

The Raptors have completed the HT/FT double in 43.3% of games this season, while the Knicks have completed the HT/FT double in 45.2% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Tuesday's matchup is +1500 to go to overtime.

The Raptors have played in four games that went to overtime this season, while the Knicks have appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

Both teams have scored 110+ points in 23 of Toronto's 60 games this season. Meanwhile, 26 of New York's 61 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

New York recorded a 119-92 blowout victory against Toronto at Scotiabank Arena when these teams last met on January 28. OG Anunoby dominated both ends on that day, finishing with 26 points and six steals. The Knicks have now won 11 straight against the Raptors.