NBA Prop Bets: Toronto Raptors vs New York Knicks (March 3, 2026)
The New York Knicks (41-22) face the Toronto Raptors (35-26) at Scotiabank Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup. The Knicks opened as 1.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 2.5, leaving the Knicks at -148 and Raptors at +124. The total points line is set at 221.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 112-110 New York.
- The Raptors (-105) have a 31-30-0 ATS record this season, while the Knicks (-115) hold a record of 34-28-1.
- The Raptors have a 24-37-0 O/U record this season (meaning 24 games have gone over the total points line and 37 have gone under). The Knicks have a 30-32-1 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Raptors are averaging 113.7 points per game this season (22nd in the league). Comparatively, the Knicks are averaging +3.5 more at 117.1 points (10th).
- Defensively, the Raptors are giving up 112.0 points per game this season (8th in the league), while the Knicks are giving up an average of 110.9 points (5th).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?
Pace
- The Raptors currently rank 21st for pace this season, recording 98.4 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Knicks sit 24th on that scale with 97.6 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 37.2% of the Raptors' field goal attempts come from three point range (25th in the league), leaving 62.8% from two. Meanwhile, the Knicks' opponents are taking 44.3% of their attempts from three (23rd) and 55.7% from two.
- Comparatively, New York takes 43.7% of shots from three (8th), leaving 56.3% from two, while Toronto's opponents are attempting 42.7% from three (18th) and 57.3% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Raptors are shooting 34.6% from deep in 2025/26 (23rd in the NBA), compared to the Knicks who are making 37.5% of their attempts (4th).
- On the opposite end, Toronto is holding opponents to 34.9% of their three-point attempts (6th), while New York's opponents are hitting 35.6% of their shots (14th).
Ball Protection
- The Raptors are committing 13.8 turnovers per game this season, ranking 7th in the league, while the Knicks are forcing 14.4 turnovers (16th).
- Flipping that script, Toronto is forcing 16.0 turnovers (4th), while New York is committing 13.6 (4th).
Crashing the Boards
- Toronto is pulling down just 42.6 rebounds per game this season (24th in the league), including 11.2 offensive boards (18th). Conversely, New York's opponents are averaging a paltry 41.5 rebounds (5th), 10.1 of which have come on the offensive end (2nd).
- Meanwhile, the Knicks are averaging 46.0 rebounds (7th) and 12.8 offensive rebounds (6th), while the Raptors are allowing 43.5 and 11.1, ranking 12th and 8th.
Back-to-backs
- Notably, the Raptors are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
- Toronto holds a 4-7 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 5-6-0 ATS record and 3-8-0 O/U record.
- Additionally, New York has a 6-2 W-L record, 4-4-0 ATS record and 3-5-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.
- Notably, the Knicks are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
- Notably, the Raptors and Knicks are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
First Quarter Winner
Toronto is +102 to win the first quarter, while New York is -122. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto | 32-27-2 | 17-15-0 | 15-12-2 | 21-14-1 | 11-13-1 | 5-5-0 |
| New York | 27-33-3 | 16-15-1 | 11-18-2 | 22-27-3 | 5-6-0 | 7-3-0 |
First Half Winner
Toronto is +120 to win the first half and New York is -142. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toronto | 35-26-0 | 19-13-0 | 16-13-0 | 23-13-0 | 12-13-0 | 5-5-0 |
| New York | 35-28-0 | 20-12-0 | 15-16-0 | 30-22-0 | 5-6-0 | 6-4-0 |
HT/FT
Toronto is +170 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, New York is +110.
- The Raptors have completed the HT/FT double in 42.6% of games this season, while the Knicks have completed the HT/FT double in 46.0% of games.
To Go To Overtime
Tuesday's matchup is +1500 to go to overtime.
- The Raptors have played in four games that went to overtime this season, while the Knicks have appeared in two.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 23 of Toronto's 61 games this season. Meanwhile, 26 of New York's 62 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
New York recorded a 111-95 victory over Toronto at Scotiabank Arena when these teams last met on March 3. The Knicks have now won 12 straight against the Raptors. Karl-Anthony Towns was influential on that day, recording 21 points, 12 rebounds and six assists.
