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NBA Prop Bets: Chicago Bulls vs Oklahoma City Thunder (March 3, 2026)

The Oklahoma City Thunder (47-15) face the Chicago Bulls (25-36) at United Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup. The Thunder opened as 11.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 10.5, leaving the Thunder at -410 and Bulls at +320. The total points line is set at 230.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 120-110 Oklahoma City.

  • The Bulls (-115) have a 26-34-1 ATS record this season, while the Thunder (-105) hold a record of 31-31-0.
  • The Bulls have a 28-32-1 O/U record this season (meaning 28 games have gone over the total points line, 32 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Thunder have a 34-28-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Bulls are averaging 115.8 points per game this season (14th in the league). Comparatively, the Thunder are averaging +3.4 more at 119.2 points (4th).
  • Defensively, the Bulls are giving up a whopping 120.1 points per game this season (26th in the league), while the Thunder are giving up an average of 107.9 points (2nd).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

  • The Bulls currently rank 5th for pace this season, recording 101.7 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Thunder sit 18th on that scale with 99.4 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

  • Looking at field goal splits, 44.7% of the Bulls' field goal attempts come from three point range (7th in the league), leaving 55.3% from two. Meanwhile, the Thunder's opponents are taking 43.9% of their attempts from three (25th) and 56.1% from two.
  • Comparatively, Oklahoma City takes 42.1% of shots from three (14th), leaving 57.9% from two, while Chicago's opponents are attempting 40.5% from three (19th) and 59.5% from two.

Beyond the Arc

  • In terms of made three-pointers, the Bulls are shooting 36.6% from deep in 2025/26 (8th in the NBA), compared to the Thunder who are making 36.2% of their attempts (10th).
  • On the opposite end, Chicago is holding opponents to 37.2% of their three-point attempts (28th), while Oklahoma City's opponents are hitting 36.7% of their shots (24th).

Ball Protection

  • The Bulls are committing 15.1 turnovers per game this season, ranking 21st in the league, while the Thunder are forcing 17.0 turnovers (2nd).
  • Flipping that script, Chicago is forcing only 12.8 turnovers (28th), while Oklahoma City is committing just 12.6 (2nd).

Crashing the Boards

  • Chicago is pulling down 44.6 rebounds per game this season (11th in the league), including 10.1 offensive boards (24th). Conversely, Oklahoma City's opponents are averaging 45.4 rebounds (24th), 12.1 of which have come on the offensive end (25th).
  • Meanwhile, the Thunder are averaging 43.9 rebounds (14th) and 9.5 offensive rebounds (29th), while the Bulls are allowing 45.1 and 11.0, ranking 22nd and 7th.

First Quarter Winner

Chicago is +160 to win the first quarter, while Oklahoma City is -192. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog
    Chicago 22-35-4 15-17-1 7-18-3 11-12-1 11-23-3 4-5-1
    Oklahoma City 37-20-5 18-10-4 19-10-1 35-18-5 2-2-0 5-4-1

First Half Winner

Chicago is +245 to win the first half and Oklahoma City is -305. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Last 10
    Chicago 20-39-2 12-20-1 8-19-1 9-15-0 11-24-2 2-8-0
    Oklahoma City 44-18-0 22-10-0 22-8-0 42-16-0 2-2-0 7-3-0

HT/FT

Chicago is +425 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Oklahoma City is -245.

  • The Bulls have completed the HT/FT double in 19.7% of games this season, while the Thunder have completed the HT/FT double in 59.7% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Tuesday's matchup is +1900 to go to overtime.

  • The Bulls have played in one game that went to overtime this season, while the Thunder have appeared in four.

Both Teams 110+

  • Both teams have scored 110+ points in 38 of Chicago's 61 games this season. Meanwhile, 21 of Oklahoma City's 62 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Oklahoma City recorded a 145-117 blowout victory against Chicago at Paycom Center when these teams last met on March 31, 2025. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander facilitated the offense on that day, finishing with 27 points and 12 assists. The Thunder have now won six straight against the Bulls.

NBA Injury News – Oklahoma City Thunder @ Chicago Bulls (March 3, 2026)

Oklahoma City Thunder - Injury Report
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (Abdominal) – Out

The Thunder listed Gilgeous-Alexander as OUT for Tuesday's (Mar. 3) game against Chicago.

Jalen Williams (Hamstring) – Out

Williams is scheduled to be re-evaluated in approximately two weeks, according to Brandon according to Rahbar of DailyThunder.com.

Isaiah Hartenstein (Injury Management) – Out

The Thunder listed Hartenstein as OUT for Tuesday's (Mar. 3) game against Chicago.

Ajay Mitchell (Abdomen) – Out

The Thunder listed Mitchell as OUT for Tuesday's (Mar. 3) game against Chicago.

Branden Carlson (Back) – Out

The Thunder listed Carlson as OUT for Tuesday's (Mar. 3) game against Chicago.

Thomas Sorber (Knee) – Out For Season

The Thunder announced on Friday (Sept. 5) that Sorber will miss the 2025-2026 season with a torn ACL.

Chicago Bulls - Injury Report
Anfernee Simons (Wrist) – Out

The Bulls listed Simons as OUT for Tuesday's (Mar. 3) game against the Thunder.

Jalen Smith (Calf) – Out

The Bulls listed Smith as OUT for Tuesday's (Mar. 3) game against the Thunder.

Jaden Ivey (Knee) – Out

The Bulls said on Saturday (Feb. 21) that Ivey will miss at least 2 weeks.

Patrick Williams (Quadriceps) – Out

The Bulls listed Williams as OUT for Tuesday's (Mar. 3) game against the Thunder.

Zach Collins (Toe) – Out For Season

The Bulls said on Saturday (Feb. 21) that Collins will undergo surgery for a sprain right toe and will be sidelined for the rest of the 2025-26 season.

Noa Essengue (Shoulder) – Out For Season

The Bulls reported on Wednesday (Dec. 3) that Essengue will have shoulder surgery and miss the remainder of the season, per HC Billy Donovan.