NBA Prop Bets: San Antonio Spurs vs Detroit Pistons (March 5, 2026)

The Detroit Pistons (45-15) face the San Antonio Spurs (44-18) at Frost Bank Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Thursday's matchup. The Spurs opened as 2.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 3.5, leaving the Spurs at -155 and Pistons at +130. The total points line is set at 228.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 116-112 San Antonio.

• The Spurs (-105) have a 35-26-1 ATS record this season, while the Pistons (-115) hold a record of 32-28-0.
• The Spurs have a 25-37-0 O/U record this season (meaning 25 games have gone over the total points line and 37 have gone under). The Pistons have a 25-34-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Spurs are averaging 118.2 points per game this season (6th in the league). Comparatively, the Pistons are averaging 117.2 (9th).
• Defensively, the Spurs are giving up 111.4 points per game this season (7th in the league), while the Pistons are giving up an average of 109.4 points (4th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Spurs currently rank 11th for pace this season, recording 100.2 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Pistons sit 14th on that scale with 99.7 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 42.1% of the Spurs' field goal attempts come from three point range (15th in the league), leaving 57.9% from two. Meanwhile, the Pistons' opponents are taking 43.2% of their attempts from three (15th) and 56.8% from two.
• Comparatively, Detroit takes 34.9% of shots from three (27th), leaving 65.1% from two, while San Antonio's opponents are attempting 40.0% from three (12th) and 60.0% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Spurs are shooting 35.2% from deep in 2025/26 (20th in the NBA), compared to the Pistons who are making 34.4% of their attempts (25th).
• On the opposite end, San Antonio is holding opponents to 35.4% of their three-point attempts (12th), while Detroit's opponents are hitting 34.9% of their shots (7th).

Ball Protection

• The Spurs are committing 13.9 turnovers per game this season, ranking T7th in the league, while the Pistons are forcing 17.2 turnovers (1st).
• Flipping that script, San Antonio is forcing 13.5 turnovers (23rd), while Detroit is committing 15.1 (23rd).

Crashing the Boards

• San Antonio is pulling down 46.5 rebounds per game this season (3rd in the league), including 11.2 offensive boards (18th). Conversely, Detroit's opponents are averaging 41.2 rebounds (4th), 11.4 of which have come on the offensive end (16th).
• Meanwhile, the Pistons are averaging 46.3 rebounds (4th) and 13.3 offensive rebounds (3rd), while the Spurs are allowing 43.4 and 10.8, ranking 11th and 5th.

First Quarter Winner

San Antonio is -135 to win the first quarter, while Detroit is +114. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
San Antonio	43-18-1	21-6-0	22-12-1	32-11-1	11-7-0	7-3-0
Detroit	34-25-1	16-14-1	18-11-0	28-20-1	6-5-0	5-5-0

First Half Winner

San Antonio is -142 to win the first half and Detroit is +120. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
San Antonio	42-20-0	20-7-0	22-13-0	29-15-0	13-5-0	7-3-0
Detroit	42-17-1	21-9-1	21-8-0	33-15-1	9-2-0	6-4-0

HT/FT

San Antonio is -105 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Detroit is +185.

• The Spurs have completed the HT/FT double in 53.2% of games this season, while the Pistons have completed the HT/FT double in 63.3% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Thursday's matchup is +1500 to go to overtime.

• The Spurs have played in one game that went to overtime this season, while the Pistons have appeared in three.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 29 of San Antonio's 61 games this season. Meanwhile, 29 of Detroit's 60 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

San Antonio recorded a 114-103 victory over Detroit at Little Caesars Arena when these teams last met on February 23. Victor Wembanyama cleaned the glass on that day, finishing with 17 rebounds, as well as 21 points and six blocks.