NBA Prop Bets: Sacramento Kings vs New Orleans Pelicans (March 5, 2026)

The New Orleans Pelicans (19-44) face the Sacramento Kings (14-49) at Golden 1 Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Thursday's matchup. The Pelicans opened as 4.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 5.5, leaving the Pelicans at -225 and Kings at +185. The total points line is set at 234.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 120-114 New Orleans.

• The Kings (-105) have a 24-38-1 ATS record this season, while the Pelicans (-115) hold a record of 32-29-2.
• The Kings have a 31-32-0 O/U record this season (meaning 31 games have gone over the total points line and 32 have gone under). The Pelicans have a 32-31-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Kings are averaging 110.2 points per game this season (29th in the league). Comparatively, the Pelicans are averaging +4.7 more at 114.9 points (18th).
• Defensively, the Kings are giving up a whopping 121.1 points per game this season (28th in the league), while the Pelicans are giving up an average of 120.2 points (27th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Kings currently rank 16th for pace this season, recording 99.4 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Pelicans sit 12th on that scale with 100.2 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 33.8% of the Kings' field goal attempts come from three point range (30th in the league), leaving 66.2% from two. Meanwhile, the Pelicans' opponents are taking 44.9% of their attempts from three (29th) and 55.1% from two.
• Comparatively, New Orleans takes only 35.9% of shots from three (26th), leaving 64.1% from two, while Sacramento's opponents are attempting a similarly low 40.3% from three (9th) and 59.7% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Kings are shooting 33.5% from deep in 2025/26 (30th in the NBA), compared to the Pelicans who are making 34.4% of their attempts (26th).
• On the opposite end, Sacramento is holding opponents to 36.8% of their three-point attempts (25th), while New Orleans' opponents are doing it tougher, hitting 35.0% of their shots (8th).

Ball Protection

• The Kings are committing 14.4 turnovers per game this season, ranking 13th in the league, while the Pelicans are forcing 14.7 turnovers (14th).
• Flipping that script, Sacramento is forcing 14.2 turnovers (17th), while New Orleans is committing 14.4 (12th).

Crashing the Boards

• Sacramento is pulling down 41.6 rebounds per game this season (26th in the league), including 11.3 offensive boards (16th). Conversely, New Orleans' opponents are averaging 45.8 rebounds (25th), 12.6 of which have come on the offensive end (29th).
• Meanwhile, the Pelicans are averaging 43.8 rebounds (15th) and 12.3 offensive rebounds (8th), while the Kings are allowing 44.7 and 11.4, ranking 17th and 14th.

First Quarter Winner

Sacramento is +120 to win the first quarter, while New Orleans is -142. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Sacramento	23-37-3	16-13-1	7-24-2	3-3-0	20-34-3	5-5-0
New Orleans	27-34-2	14-18-0	13-16-2	7-4-0	20-30-2	6-4-0

First Half Winner

Sacramento is +145 to win the first half and New Orleans is -175. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Sacramento	18-43-2	9-20-1	9-23-1	2-3-1	16-40-1	2-8-0
New Orleans	24-38-1	13-18-1	11-20-0	7-4-0	17-34-1	4-6-0

HT/FT

Sacramento is +250 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, New Orleans is -130.

• The Kings have completed the HT/FT double in 14.3% of games this season, while the Pelicans have completed the HT/FT double in 19.0% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Thursday's matchup is +1600 to go to overtime.

• The Kings have played in three games that went to overtime this season, while the Pelicans have appeared in five.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 30 of Sacramento's 63 games this season. Meanwhile, 35 of New Orleans' 63 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

New Orleans recorded a 120-94 blowout victory against Sacramento at Smoothie King Center when these teams last met on February 9. Despite being on the losing side, Maxime Raynaud was prominent on that day, recording 21 points and 19 rebounds.