NBA Prop Bets: Phoenix Suns vs Chicago Bulls (March 5, 2026)

The Chicago Bulls (25-37) face the Phoenix Suns (35-26) at Mortgage Matchup Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Thursday's matchup. The Suns are favored to win at -535, currently marked as 10.5-point favorites, while the Bulls are at +400. The total points line is set at 224.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 118-107 Phoenix.

• The Suns (-105) have a 36-23-2 ATS record this season, while the Bulls (-115) hold a record of 27-34-1.
• The Suns have a 25-35-1 O/U record this season (meaning 25 games have gone over the total points line, 35 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Bulls have a 28-33-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Suns are averaging 112.1 points per game this season (26th in the league). Comparatively, the Bulls are averaging +3.5 more at 115.7 points (14th).
• Defensively, the Suns are giving up only 111.2 points per game this season (6th in the league), while the Bulls are giving up an average of 120.0 points (26th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Suns currently rank 26th for pace this season, recording 97.2 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Bulls sit 3rd on that scale with 101.7 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 45.0% of the Suns' field goal attempts come from three point range (5th in the league), leaving 55.0% from two. Meanwhile, the Bulls' opponents are taking 40.5% of their attempts from three (20th) and 59.5% from two.
• Comparatively, Chicago takes 44.8% of shots from three (7th), leaving 55.2% from two, while Phoenix's opponents are attempting 41.3% from three (6th) and 58.7% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Suns are shooting 36.1% from deep in 2025/26 (12th in the NBA), compared to the Bulls who are making 36.5% of their attempts (8th).
• On the opposite end, Phoenix is holding opponents to 34.2% of their three-point attempts (2nd), while Chicago's opponents are doing things easier, hitting 37.0% of their shots (28th).

Ball Protection

• The Suns are committing 14.9 turnovers per game this season, ranking 20th in the league, while the Bulls are forcing 12.7 turnovers (28th).
• Flipping that script, Phoenix is forcing 16.5 turnovers (3rd), while Chicago is committing 15.1 (21st).

Crashing the Boards

• Phoenix is pulling down 43.4 rebounds per game this season (17th in the league), including 13.2 offensive boards (4th). Conversely, Chicago's opponents are averaging 45.2 rebounds (21st), 11.0 of which have come on the offensive end (8th).
• Meanwhile, the Bulls are averaging 44.7 rebounds (10th) and 10.1 offensive rebounds (24th), while the Suns are allowing 44.2 and 12.2, ranking 16th and 26th.

First Quarter Winner

Phoenix is -225 to win the first quarter, while Chicago is +185. Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Phoenix	29-29-3	16-15-1	13-14-2	16-13-0	13-16-3	3-6-1
Chicago	22-36-4	15-18-1	7-18-3	11-12-1	11-24-3	4-5-1

First Half Winner

Phoenix is -340 to win the first half and Chicago is +270. Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Phoenix	31-28-2	15-15-2	16-13-0	18-10-1	13-18-1	2-7-1
Chicago	20-40-2	12-21-1	8-19-1	9-15-0	11-25-2	2-8-0

HT/FT

Phoenix is -285 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Chicago is +500.

• The Suns have completed the HT/FT double in 42.6% of games this season, while the Bulls have completed the HT/FT double in 19.4% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Thursday's matchup is +2200 to go to overtime.

• The Suns have played in two games that went to overtime this season, while the Bulls have appeared in one.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 23 of Phoenix's 61 games this season. Meanwhile, 38 of Chicago's 62 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Phoenix recorded a 127-121 victory over Chicago at Mortgage Matchup Center when these teams last met on March 19, 2025. Devin Booker was lights out from deep on that day, finishing with 41 points and six triples. The Suns have now won 11 straight against the Bulls.