MLB Prop Bets: Chicago Cubs vs Arizona Diamondbacks (May 3, 2026)
The Arizona Diamondbacks (16-16) face the Chicago Cubs (21-12) at Wrigley Field on Sunday at 2:20pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Merrill Kelly is the probable pitcher for the Diamondbacks, while Matthew Boyd is the probable pitcher for the Cubs. The Cubs are favored to win at -163, while the Diamondbacks are at +135. The total runs line is set at 12.0, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115.
- The Diamondbacks (-126) have a 20-12 Run Line record this season, while the Cubs (+104) hold a record of 17-16.
- The Diamondbacks have an 18-12-2 O/U record this season (meaning 18 games have gone over the total runs line, 12 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Cubs have a 21-11-1 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Diamondbacks are averaging 4.6 runs per game this season (13th in the league). Comparatively, the Cubs are averaging +0.8 more at 5.4 runs (2nd).
- In the field, the Diamondbacks are allowing a whopping 5.4 runs per game this season (28th in the league), while the Cubs are allowing an average of 4.2 runs (10th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Diamondbacks are at .248 (ranking 12th in the Major leagues), while the Cubs are batting .258 (4th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Cubs have hit 43 (T6th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks have managed 32 (T20th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Diamondbacks have recorded 140 RBIs to rank 14th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Cubs have recorded 161 RBIs to rank T7th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Cubs have an earned run average of 3.89 this season (11th in the Majors), while The Diamondbacks have an ERA of 4.96 (29th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Diamondbacks have recorded 234 this season, ranking 29th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Cubs rank T19th for total strikeouts, recording 270.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .228 against the Cubs this season (7th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Diamondbacks' opponents are at .257 (22nd).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | 7-10-15 | 3-4-6 | 4-6-7 | 2-2-4 | 5-8-11 | 0-0-2 | 1-5-4 |
| Cubs | 5-6-22 | 4-2-12 | 1-4-10 | 4-2-15 | 1-4-7 | 0-0-0 | 2-2-6 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | 9-16-7 | 4-4-5 | 4-11-2 | 4-1-3 | 5-15-4 | 1-1-0 | 2-7-1 |
| Cubs | 17-8-8 | 10-3-5 | 7-5-3 | 12-3-6 | 5-5-2 | 0-0-0 | 7-2-1 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying +120 and the YRFI is paying -155.
- The NRFI is 13-19 in Diamondbacks games this season. The Cubs have a 22-11 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Cubs recorded an upset 2-0 victory over the Diamondbacks at Wrigley Field yesterday. Ian Happ was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a triple and recording an RBI.
