MLB Prop Bets: New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles (May 3, 2026)
The Baltimore Orioles (15-18) face the New York Yankees (22-11) at Yankee Stadium on Sunday at 1:35pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Max Fried is the probable pitcher for the Yankees, while the Orioles' probable pitcher remains unclear. The Yankees are favored to win at -226, while the Orioles are at +184. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -120 and UNDER at +100.
- The Orioles (-115) have a 14-19 Run Line record this season, while the Yankees (-105) hold a record of 19-14.
- The Orioles have a 20-12-1 O/U record this season (meaning 20 games have gone over the total runs line, 12 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Yankees have a 13-17-3 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Orioles are averaging 4.6 runs per game this season (12th in the league). Comparatively, the Yankees are averaging 5.1 (8th).
- In the field, the Orioles are allowing a whopping 5.2 runs per game this season (27th in the league), while the Yankees are allowing an average of 3.4 runs (2nd).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Orioles are at .230 (ranking 26th in the Major leagues), while the Yankees are batting .235 (20th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Yankees have hit 53 (1st in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Orioles have managed 39 (11th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Orioles have recorded 149 RBIs to rank 12th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Yankees have recorded 159 RBIs to rank 9th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Yankees have an earned run average of 3.01 this season (1st in the Majors), while The Orioles have an ERA of 4.55 (23rd).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Orioles have recorded 282 this season, ranking T14th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Yankees rank 11th for total strikeouts, recording 288.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of only .216 against the Yankees this season (3rd in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Orioles' opponents are at .269 (29th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | 4-5-24 | 3-2-13 | 1-3-11 | 3-2-17 | 1-3-7 | 0-0-0 | 3-2-5 |
| Yankees | 12-6-15 | 7-3-5 | 5-3-10 | 11-6-14 | 1-0-1 | 0-0-0 | 4-2-4 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | 9-15-9 | 7-7-4 | 2-8-5 | 6-9-7 | 3-6-2 | 0-0-0 | 4-4-2 |
| Yankees | 19-8-6 | 10-3-2 | 9-5-4 | 17-8-6 | 2-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 6-2-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -125 and the YRFI is paying -105.
- The NRFI is 23-10 in Orioles games this season. The Yankees have a 14-19 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Yankees recorded an upset 9-4 victory over the Orioles at Yankee Stadium yesterday. Cody Bellinger was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting 2 home runs, a double and recording 4 RBIs. The Yankees have now won seven straight against the Orioles.
