MLB Prop Bets: Minnesota Twins vs Toronto Blue Jays (May 3, 2026)
The Toronto Blue Jays (16-17) face the Minnesota Twins (14-20) at Target Field on Sunday at 12:45pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Trey Yesavage is the probable pitcher for the Blue Jays, while Joe Ryan is the probable pitcher for the Twins. The Twins opened as favorites but this matchup has since become a pick'em, with both the Twins and Blue Jays at -110 to win. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105.
- The Blue Jays (+153) have a 15-18 Run Line record this season, while the Twins (-186) hold a record of 16-18.
- The Blue Jays have a 17-15-1 O/U record this season (meaning 17 games have gone over the total runs line, 15 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Twins have a 19-12-3 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game this season (22nd in the league). Comparatively, the Twins are averaging +0.5 more at 4.7 runs (10th).
- In the field, the Blue Jays are allowing 4.6 runs per game this season (17th in the league), while the Twins are allowing an average of 4.9 runs (24th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Blue Jays are at .250 (ranking 11th in the Major leagues), while the Twins are batting .234 (23rd).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Twins have hit 40 (T9th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have managed 32 (T20th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Blue Jays have recorded 135 RBIs to rank 22nd in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Twins have recorded 154 RBIs to rank 10th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Twins have an earned run average of 4.50 this season (21st in the Majors), while The Blue Jays have an ERA of 4.23 (15th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Blue Jays have recorded an impressive 311 this season, ranking T3rd in the MLB. Contrastingly, the Twins rank 27th for total strikeouts, recording only 257.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .251 against the Twins this season (21st in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Blue Jays' opponents are at .244 (16th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | 6-9-18 | 4-4-10 | 2-5-8 | 6-7-10 | 0-2-8 | 0-0-0 | 1-3-6 |
| Twins | 8-6-20 | 7-1-11 | 1-5-9 | 2-0-3 | 6-6-17 | 0-0-0 | 1-2-7 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Blue Jays are -110 to lead after three innings, while the Twins are -120.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | 10-12-11 | 7-7-4 | 3-5-7 | 8-8-7 | 2-4-4 | 0-0-0 | 3-4-3 |
| Twins | 14-12-8 | 9-4-6 | 5-8-2 | 3-1-1 | 11-11-7 | 0-0-0 | 2-4-4 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -140 and the YRFI is paying +105.
- The NRFI is 17-16 in Blue Jays games this season. The Twins have a 20-14 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Blue Jays recorded an 11-4 victory over the Twins at Target Field yesterday. Myles Straw went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 2 RBIs.
