MLB Prop Bets: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds (May 3, 2026)
The Cincinnati Reds (20-13) face the Pittsburgh Pirates (18-16) at PNC Park on Sunday at 1:35pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Chase Burns is the probable pitcher for the Reds, while Braxton Ashcraft is the probable pitcher for the Pirates. The Pirates are favored to win at -120, while the Reds are at +100. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115.
- The Reds (+157) have a 19-14 Run Line record this season, while the Pirates (-191) hold a record of 19-15.
- The Reds have a 21-12-0 O/U record this season (meaning 21 games have gone over the total runs line and 12 have gone under). The Pirates have a 19-15-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Reds are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season (T19th in the league). Comparatively, the Pirates are averaging +1.0 more at 5.3 runs (4th).
- In the field, the Reds are allowing 4.9 runs per game this season (T22nd in the league), while the Pirates are allowing an average of 4.4 runs (13th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Pirates are at an impressive .254 (ranking 5th in the Major leagues), while the Reds are batting an underwhelming .220 (30th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Pirates have hit 38 (T12th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Reds have managed 44 (T4th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Reds have recorded 130 RBIs to rank 24th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Pirates have recorded 173 RBIs to rank 2nd.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Pirates have an earned run average of 3.83 this season (7th in the Majors), while The Reds have an ERA of 4.59 (25th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Pirates have recorded an impressive 322 this season, ranking 1st in the MLB. Contrastingly, the Reds rank 25th for total strikeouts, recording only 261.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .224 against the Pirates this season (6th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Reds' opponents are at .257 (23rd).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | 8-10-15 | 5-5-8 | 3-5-7 | 3-2-4 | 5-8-11 | 0-0-0 | 3-5-2 |
| Pirates | 12-4-18 | 7-3-9 | 5-1-9 | 8-3-8 | 4-1-10 | 0-0-0 | 3-1-6 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Reds are -115 to lead after three innings, while the Pirates are -115.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | 9-15-9 | 6-8-4 | 3-7-5 | 4-3-2 | 5-12-7 | 0-0-0 | 3-7-0 |
| Pirates | 16-8-10 | 10-4-5 | 6-4-5 | 11-5-3 | 5-3-7 | 0-0-0 | 4-4-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -155 and the YRFI is paying +120.
- The NRFI is 14-19 in Reds games this season. The Pirates have an 18-16 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Pirates recorded a lopsided 17-7 victory against the Reds at PNC Park yesterday. JJ Bleday was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording 2 RBIs. The Pirates have now won four straight against the Reds.
