MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies (May 3, 2026)
The Philadelphia Phillies (13-20) face the Miami Marlins (16-17) at LoanDepot Park on Sunday at 1:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Jesus Luzardo is the probable pitcher for the Phillies, while Chris Paddack is the probable pitcher for the Marlins. The Phillies are favored to win at -149, while the Marlins are at +123. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108.
- The Phillies (+113) have a 6-27 Run Line record this season, while the Marlins (-136) hold a record of 16-17.
- The Phillies have a 16-15-2 O/U record this season (meaning 16 games have gone over the total runs line, 15 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Marlins have a 19-12-2 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Phillies are averaging 3.8 runs per game this season (28th in the league). Comparatively, the Marlins are averaging +0.6 more at 4.4 runs (17th).
- In the field, the Phillies are allowing a whopping 5.2 runs per game this season (26th in the league), while the Marlins are allowing an average of 4.2 runs (11th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Marlins are at an impressive .252 (ranking 6th in the Major leagues), while the Phillies are batting an underwhelming .223 (29th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Marlins have hit 24 (27th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Phillies have managed 34 (T17th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Phillies have recorded 122 RBIs to rank 27th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Marlins have recorded 138 RBIs to rank T18th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Marlins have an earned run average of 3.88 this season (10th in the Majors), while The Phillies have an ERA of 4.83 (27th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Phillies have recorded 313 this season, ranking 2nd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Marlins rank T16th for total strikeouts, recording 279.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of only .219 against the Marlins this season (4th in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Phillies' opponents are at .279 (30th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | 10-10-13 | 7-5-6 | 3-5-7 | 8-7-9 | 2-3-4 | 0-0-0 | 2-4-4 |
| Marlins | 7-6-20 | 4-1-13 | 3-5-7 | 4-1-14 | 3-5-6 | 0-0-0 | 2-1-7 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Phillies are -154 to lead after three innings, while the Marlins are +120.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | 10-17-6 | 8-8-2 | 2-9-4 | 8-12-4 | 2-5-2 | 0-0-0 | 2-6-2 |
| Marlins | 15-11-7 | 9-4-5 | 6-7-2 | 10-4-5 | 5-7-2 | 0-0-0 | 7-2-1 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -135 and the YRFI is paying +105.
- The NRFI is 13-20 in Phillies games this season. The Marlins have an 18-15 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Marlins recorded a 4-0 victory over the Phillies at LoanDepot Park yesterday. Xavier Edwards was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording an RBI. That result snapped the Phillies' three-game winning streak against the Marlins.
