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MLB Prop Bets: Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros (May 3, 2026)

The Houston Astros (13-21) face the Boston Red Sox (13-20) at Fenway Park on Sunday at 1:35pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Cody Bolton is the probable pitcher for the Astros, while Ranger Suarez is the probable pitcher for the Red Sox. The Red Sox are favored to win at -163, while the Astros are at +135. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -120 and UNDER at +100.

  • The Astros (-149) have a 13-21 Run Line record this season, while the Red Sox (+123) hold a record of 11-22.
  • The Astros have a 23-10-1 O/U record this season (meaning 23 games have gone over the total runs line, 10 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Red Sox have a 16-16-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Astros are averaging 5.1 runs per game this season (7th in the league). Comparatively, the Red Sox are averaging only 3.9 (26th).
  • In the field, the Astros are allowing a whopping 5.9 runs per game this season (30th in the league), while the Red Sox are allowing an average of 4.4 runs (14th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Astros are at .269 (ranking 3rd in the Major leagues), while the Red Sox are batting .235 (22nd).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Astros are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 43 to rank T6th. Alternatively, the Red Sox are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 22 (T28th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Astros have been outstanding this season, recording 166 RBIs to rank 3rd in the MLB. Comparatively, the Red Sox have performed poorly in this area, recording only 124 RBIs to rank 26th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Red Sox have an earned run average of 4.29 this season (17th in the Majors), while The Astros have an ERA of 5.91 (30th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Astros have recorded an impressive 304 this season, ranking 6th in the MLB. Contrastingly, the Red Sox rank 26th for total strikeouts, recording only 259.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .250 against the Red Sox this season (19th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Astros' opponents are at .265 (27th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Astros 13-11-10 7-4-5 6-7-5 4-4-8 9-7-2 0-0-0 5-3-2
    Red Sox 3-11-19 1-3-11 2-8-8 1-7-14 2-4-5 0-0-0 1-3-6

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Astros 13-12-9 7-5-4 6-7-5 6-6-4 7-6-5 0-0-0 4-4-2
    Red Sox 10-14-9 7-5-3 3-9-6 7-8-7 3-6-2 0-0-0 3-5-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -125 and the YRFI is paying -105.

  • The NRFI is 9-25 in Astros games this season. The Red Sox have an 18-15 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Astros recorded a 6-3 victory over the Red Sox at Fenway Park yesterday. Christian Walker dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 2 singles and 2 RBIs. That result snapped the Red Sox's four-game winning streak against the Astros at Fenway Park.