MLB Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays (May 4, 2026)
The Toronto Blue Jays (16-18) face the Tampa Bay Rays (21-12) at Tropicana Field on Monday at 6:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Nick Martinez is the probable pitcher for the Rays, while the Blue Jays' probable pitcher remains unclear. The Rays are favored to win at -118, while the Blue Jays are at -102. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112.
- The Blue Jays (+157) have a 15-19 Run Line record this season, while the Rays (-191) hold a record of 20-13.
- The Blue Jays have a 17-16-1 O/U record this season (meaning 17 games have gone over the total runs line, 16 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Rays have a 16-15-2 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Blue Jays are averaging 4.2 runs per game this season (21st in the league). Comparatively, the Rays are averaging 4.5 (15th).
- In the field, the Blue Jays are allowing 4.6 runs per game this season (T17th in the league), while the Rays are allowing an average of 4.2 runs (10th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Blue Jays are at .251 (ranking 9th in the Major leagues), while the Rays are batting .250 (11th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Rays have hit 29 (25th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have managed 33 (T21st).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Blue Jays have recorded 138 RBIs to rank 22nd in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Rays have recorded 139 RBIs to rank T19th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Rays have an earned run average of 3.75 this season (8th in the Majors), while The Blue Jays have an ERA of 4.24 (15th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Blue Jays have recorded an impressive 320 this season, ranking 4th in the MLB. Contrastingly, the Rays rank 28th for total strikeouts, recording only 259.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .221 against the Rays this season (4th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Blue Jays' opponents are at .245 (18th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | 6-10-18 | 4-4-10 | 2-6-8 | 6-8-10 | 0-2-8 | 0-0-0 | 1-4-5 |
| Rays | 6-7-20 | 2-4-9 | 4-3-11 | 3-5-12 | 3-2-8 | 0-0-0 | 1-1-8 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blue Jays | 10-13-11 | 7-7-4 | 3-6-7 | 8-9-7 | 2-4-4 | 0-0-0 | 3-4-3 |
| Rays | 14-12-7 | 7-4-4 | 7-8-3 | 10-8-2 | 4-4-5 | 0-0-0 | 4-2-4 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -120 and the YRFI is paying -105.
- The NRFI is 17-17 in Blue Jays games this season. The Rays have a 19-14 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Blue Jays recorded a lopsided 13-4 victory against the Rays at Rogers Centre when these teams last met on September 28, 2025. Alejandro Kirk was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting 2 home runs, a double and recording 6 RBIs. The Blue Jays have now won three straight against the Rays.
