MLB Prop Bets: Seattle Mariners vs Atlanta Braves (May 4, 2026)
The Atlanta Braves (25-10) face the Seattle Mariners (16-19) at T-Mobile Park on Monday at 9:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Ian Ritchie is the probable pitcher for the Braves, while Logan Gilbert is the probable pitcher for the Mariners. The Mariners are favored to win at -171, while the Braves are at +141. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -102 and UNDER at -118.
- The Braves (-156) have a 25-10 Run Line record this season, while the Mariners (+129) hold a record of 14-21.
- The Braves have a 16-15-4 O/U record this season (meaning 16 games have gone over the total runs line, 15 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Mariners have a 16-18-1 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Braves are averaging 5.9 runs per game this season (1st in the league). Comparatively, the Mariners are averaging only 4.1 (25th).
- In the field, the Braves are allowing only 3.5 runs per game this season (3rd in the league), while the Mariners are allowing an average of 4.0 runs (7th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Braves are at an impressive .276 (ranking 1st in the Major leagues), while the Mariners are batting an underwhelming .229 (26th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Mariners have hit 38 (T12th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Braves have managed 50 (2nd).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Braves have recorded 200 RBIs to rank 1st in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Mariners have recorded 139 RBIs to rank T19th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Mariners have an earned run average of 3.72 this season (6th in the Majors), while The Braves have an ERA of 3.19 (2nd).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Braves have recorded 302 this season, ranking 9th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Mariners rank T14th for total strikeouts, recording 289.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .259 against the Mariners this season (24th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Braves' opponents are at .215 (2nd).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | 9-11-15 | 5-3-10 | 4-8-5 | 8-11-13 | 1-0-2 | 0-0-0 | 3-4-3 |
| Mariners | 9-9-17 | 8-7-5 | 1-2-12 | 9-8-13 | 0-1-4 | 0-0-0 | 1-2-7 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | 16-13-6 | 9-6-3 | 7-7-3 | 15-11-6 | 1-2-0 | 0-0-0 | 5-4-1 |
| Mariners | 13-13-9 | 9-7-4 | 4-6-5 | 10-12-8 | 3-1-1 | 0-0-0 | 3-5-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -135 and the YRFI is paying +105.
- The NRFI is 13-22 in Braves games this season. The Mariners have a 14-21 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Mariners recorded a lopsided 18-2 victory against the Braves at Truist Park when these teams last met on September 7, 2025. Eugenio Suarez was crushing the ball in that matchup, hitting 2 home runs and recording 3 RBIs.
