MLB Prop Bets: New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles (May 4, 2026)
The Baltimore Orioles (15-19) face the New York Yankees (23-11) at Yankee Stadium on Monday at 7:05pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Shane Baz is the probable pitcher for the Orioles, while Cam Schlittler is the probable pitcher for the Yankees. The Yankees are favored to win at -226, while the Orioles are at +184. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112.
- The Orioles (-120) have a 14-20 Run Line record this season, while the Yankees (+100) hold a record of 20-14.
- The Orioles have a 21-12-1 O/U record this season (meaning 21 games have gone over the total runs line, 12 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Yankees have a 14-17-3 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Orioles are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season (12th in the league). Comparatively, the Yankees are averaging 5.3 (3rd).
- In the field, the Orioles are allowing a whopping 5.4 runs per game this season (27th in the league), while the Yankees are allowing an average of 3.4 runs (2nd).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Orioles are at .232 (ranking 25th in the Major leagues), while the Yankees are batting .241 (14th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Yankees have hit 56 (1st in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Orioles have managed 39 (11th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Orioles have recorded 151 RBIs to rank T11th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Yankees have recorded 170 RBIs to rank 3rd.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Yankees have one of the strongest earned run averages this season, sitting at 3.01 (1st in the Majors), while the Orioles are at the opposite end of the scale with an ERA of 4.76 (27th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Orioles have recorded 285 this season, ranking T17th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Yankees rank T10th for total strikeouts, recording 297.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of only .218 against the Yankees this season (3rd in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Orioles' opponents are at .273 (29th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | 4-6-24 | 3-2-13 | 1-4-11 | 3-2-17 | 1-4-7 | 0-0-0 | 3-3-4 |
| Yankees | 13-6-15 | 8-3-5 | 5-3-10 | 12-6-14 | 1-0-1 | 0-0-0 | 4-2-4 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | 9-16-9 | 7-7-4 | 2-9-5 | 6-9-7 | 3-7-2 | 0-0-0 | 3-5-2 |
| Yankees | 20-8-6 | 11-3-2 | 9-5-4 | 18-8-6 | 2-0-0 | 0-0-0 | 6-2-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -145 and the YRFI is paying +110.
- The NRFI is 23-11 in Orioles games this season. The Yankees have a 14-20 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Yankees recorded a shock 11-3 victory over the Orioles at Yankee Stadium yesterday. Jasson Dominguez went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 3 RBIs. The Yankees have now won eight straight against the Orioles.
