MLB Prop Bets: Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Guardians (May 4, 2026)
The Cleveland Guardians (18-17) face the Kansas City Royals (15-19) at Kauffman Stadium on Monday at 7:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Tanner Bibee is the probable pitcher for the Guardians, while Michael Wacha is the probable pitcher for the Royals. The Royals are favored to win at -120, while the Guardians are at +100. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -118 and UNDER at -102.
- The Guardians (+158) have an 18-17 Run Line record this season, while the Royals (-193) hold a record of 17-17.
- The Guardians have a 17-18-0 O/U record this season (meaning 17 games have gone over the total runs line and 18 have gone under). The Royals have a 14-18-2 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Guardians are averaging 4.2 runs per game this season (22nd in the league). Comparatively, the Royals are averaging 4.1 (24th).
- In the field, the Guardians are allowing 4.3 runs per game this season (T11th in the league), while the Royals are allowing an average of 4.6 runs (T17th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Guardians are at .235 (ranking 22nd in the Major leagues), while the Royals are batting .241 (16th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Royals have hit 33 (T21st in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Guardians have managed 36 (16th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Guardians have recorded 140 RBIs to rank T17th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Royals have recorded 133 RBIs to rank 24th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Royals have an earned run average of 4.39 this season (19th in the Majors), while The Guardians have an ERA of 3.98 (14th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Guardians have recorded 317 this season, ranking 5th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Royals rank 12th for total strikeouts, recording 296.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .242 against the Royals this season (15th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Guardians' opponents are at .235 (11th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | 7-5-23 | 3-2-11 | 4-3-12 | 3-3-11 | 4-2-12 | 0-0-0 | 1-4-5 |
| Royals | 3-8-23 | 1-4-11 | 2-4-12 | 1-4-11 | 2-4-12 | 0-0-0 | 2-3-5 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | 12-11-12 | 6-4-6 | 6-7-6 | 6-3-8 | 6-8-4 | 0-0-0 | 3-4-3 |
| Royals | 10-16-8 | 6-6-4 | 4-10-4 | 4-9-3 | 6-7-5 | 0-0-0 | 2-5-3 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -120 and the YRFI is paying -110.
- The NRFI is 20-15 in Guardians games this season. The Royals have a 22-12 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Guardians recorded a lopsided 10-2 victory against the Royals at Progressive Field when these teams last met on April 8. Angel Martinez dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 2 singles and 4 RBIs.
