MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs Baltimore Orioles (May 6, 2026)
The Baltimore Orioles (16-20) face the Miami Marlins (16-20) at LoanDepot Park on Wednesday at 6:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Brandon Young is the probable pitcher for the Orioles, while Eury Perez is the probable pitcher for the Marlins. The Marlins are favored to win at -131, while the Orioles are at +109. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108.
- The Orioles (-186) have a 15-21 Run Line record this season, while the Marlins (+153) hold a record of 16-20.
- The Orioles have a 23-12-1 O/U record this season (meaning 23 games have gone over the total runs line, 12 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Marlins have a 21-13-2 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Orioles are averaging 4.6 runs per game this season (12th in the league). Comparatively, the Marlins are averaging 4.3 (T18th).
- In the field, the Orioles are allowing a whopping 5.6 runs per game this season (28th in the league), while the Marlins are allowing an average of 4.4 runs (14th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Orioles are at .234 (ranking 23rd in the Major leagues), while the Marlins are batting .251 (7th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Marlins have hit 27 (T27th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Orioles have managed 39 (T12th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Orioles have recorded 161 RBIs to rank 11th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Marlins have recorded 145 RBIs to rank T20th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Marlins have an earned run average of 4.04 this season (13th in the Majors), while The Orioles have an ERA of 4.90 (27th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Orioles have recorded 299 this season, ranking T18th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Marlins rank 16th for total strikeouts, recording 303.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of only .223 against the Marlins this season (4th in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Orioles' opponents are at .273 (29th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | 5-7-24 | 3-2-13 | 2-5-11 | 3-2-17 | 2-5-7 | 0-0-0 | 2-4-4 |
| Marlins | 7-8-21 | 4-3-14 | 3-5-7 | 4-2-15 | 3-6-6 | 0-0-0 | 1-3-6 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Orioles are +114 to lead after three innings, while the Marlins are -145.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | 10-17-9 | 7-7-4 | 3-10-5 | 6-9-7 | 4-8-2 | 0-0-0 | 2-6-2 |
| Marlins | 15-14-7 | 9-7-5 | 6-7-2 | 10-6-5 | 5-8-2 | 0-0-0 | 5-4-1 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -115 and the YRFI is paying -115.
- The NRFI is 23-13 in Orioles games this season. The Marlins have a 19-17 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Orioles recorded a 9-7 victory over the Marlins at LoanDepot Park yesterday. Liam Hicks dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 3 singles and 3 RBIs.
