MLB Prop Bets: Washington Nationals vs Minnesota Twins (May 6, 2026)
The Minnesota Twins (16-20) face the Washington Nationals (16-20) at Nationals Park on Wednesday at 6:45pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Bailey Ober is the probable pitcher for the Twins, while Miles Mikolas is the probable pitcher for the Nationals. The Twins are favored to win at -136, while the Nationals are at +113. The total runs line is set at 9.5, with OVER at -102 and UNDER at -118.
- The Twins (+119) have an 18-18 Run Line record this season, while the Nationals (-143) hold a record of 20-16.
- The Twins have a 20-13-3 O/U record this season (meaning 20 games have gone over the total runs line, 13 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Nationals have a 22-13-1 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Twins are averaging 4.9 runs per game this season (10th in the league). Comparatively, the Nationals are averaging 5.1 (6th).
- In the field, the Twins are allowing 4.8 runs per game this season (22nd in the league), while the Nationals are allowing an average of 5.8 runs (30th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Twins are at .236 (ranking 21st in the Major leagues), while the Nationals are batting .237 (19th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Nationals have hit 37 (T17th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Twins have managed 41 (T10th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Twins have recorded 168 RBIs to rank T8th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Nationals have recorded 169 RBIs to rank 7th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Nationals have an earned run average of 4.90 this season (28th in the Majors), while The Twins have an ERA of 4.41 (20th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Twins have recorded 276 this season, ranking T25th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Nationals rank 28th for total strikeouts, recording 272.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .258 against the Nationals this season (25th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Twins' opponents are at .251 (20th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | 9-7-20 | 8-1-11 | 1-6-9 | 2-1-3 | 7-6-17 | 0-0-0 | 2-1-7 |
| Nationals | 13-8-15 | 8-4-5 | 5-4-10 | 0-1-0 | 13-7-15 | 0-0-0 | 2-3-5 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Twins are -135 to lead after three innings, while the Nationals are +105.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | 16-12-8 | 10-4-6 | 6-8-2 | 4-1-1 | 12-11-7 | 0-0-0 | 4-2-4 |
| Nationals | 11-16-9 | 6-8-3 | 5-8-6 | 0-0-1 | 11-16-8 | 0-0-0 | 2-4-4 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -110 and the YRFI is paying -120.
- The NRFI is 20-16 in Twins games this season. The Nationals have a 15-21 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Twins recorded a lopsided 11-3 victory against the Nationals at Nationals Park yesterday. Brooks Lee went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 3 RBIs. The Twins have now won three straight at Nationals Park against the Nationals.
