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MLB Prop Bets: New York Yankees vs New York Mets (September 11, 2026)

The New York Mets (68-78) face the New York Yankees (84-62) at Yankee Stadium on Friday at 7:05pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Nolan McLean is the probable pitcher for the Mets, while Carlos Rodon is the probable pitcher for the Yankees. The Yankees are favored to win at -142, while the Mets are at +118. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -119 and UNDER at -102.

  • The Mets (-186) have a 71-75 Run Line record this season, while the Yankees (+153) hold a record of 78-68.
  • The Mets have a 66-68-12 O/U record this season (meaning 66 games have gone over the total runs line, 68 have gone under and 12 have resulted in a push). The Yankees have a 62-78-6 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Mets are averaging 4.3 runs per game this season (21st in the league). Comparatively, the Yankees are averaging +0.3 more at 4.6 runs (9th).
  • In the field, the Mets are allowing 4.6 runs per game this season (19th in the league), while the Yankees are allowing an average of 3.7 runs (1st).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Mets are at .238 (ranking 21st in the Major leagues), while the Yankees are batting .234 (27th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Yankees have hit 199 (2nd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Mets have managed 181 (8th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Mets have recorded 598 RBIs to rank 22nd in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Yankees have recorded 636 RBIs to rank 13th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Yankees have an earned run average of 3.20 this season (1st in the Majors), while The Mets have an ERA of 4.19 (17th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Mets have recorded 1304 this season, ranking T7th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Yankees rank 6th for total strikeouts, recording 1313.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .223 against the Yankees this season (3rd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Mets' opponents are at .241 (14th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Mets 35-32-79 21-14-39 14-18-40 25-16-37 10-16-42 0-0-0 5-1-4
    Yankees 35-33-78 19-15-37 16-18-41 30-23-64 5-10-14 0-0-0 3-1-6

Lead After Three Innings

The Mets are +105 to lead after three innings, while the Yankees are -135.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Mets 48-61-37 23-31-20 25-30-17 28-30-20 20-31-17 0-0-0 4-2-4
    Yankees 64-42-40 31-19-21 33-23-19 52-32-33 12-10-7 0-0-0 4-2-4

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -120 and the YRFI is paying -105.

  • The NRFI is 73-73 in Mets games this season. The Yankees have a 76-70 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Mets recorded a 7-6 extra innings victory over the Yankees at Citi Field when these teams last met on May 17. Despite being on the wrong side of that result, Anthony Volpe went yard in that matchup, hitting a home run to go with 3 RBIs.