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MLB Prop Bets: Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds (September 11, 2026)

The Cincinnati Reds (69-77) face the Milwaukee Brewers (91-56) at American Family Field on Friday at 7:45pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Andrew Abbott is the probable pitcher for the Reds, while Dustin May is the probable pitcher for the Brewers. The Brewers are favored to win at -191, while the Reds are at +157. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -109 and UNDER at -111.

  • The Reds (-143) have a 75-71 Run Line record this season, while the Brewers (+119) hold a record of 76-71.
  • The Reds have a 78-67-1 O/U record this season (meaning 78 games have gone over the total runs line, 67 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Brewers have a 65-77-5 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Reds are averaging 4.2 runs per game this season (25th in the league). Comparatively, the Brewers are averaging +0.9 more at 5.0 runs (3rd).
  • In the field, the Reds are allowing a whopping 5.0 runs per game this season (27th in the league), while the Brewers are allowing an average of 3.9 runs (T4th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Brewers are at an impressive .257 (ranking 3rd in the Major leagues), while the Reds are batting an underwhelming .230 (29th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Reds are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 196 to rank 4th. Alternatively, the Brewers are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 137 (30th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Brewers have been outstanding this season, recording 701 RBIs to rank 3rd in the MLB. Comparatively, the Reds have performed poorly in this area, recording only 585 RBIs to rank 26th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Brewers have one of the strongest earned run averages this season, sitting at 3.56 (2nd in the Majors), while the Reds are at the opposite end of the scale with an ERA of 4.73 (27th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Reds have recorded 1186 this season, ranking 20th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Brewers rank 2nd for total strikeouts, recording 1406.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .222 against the Brewers this season (2nd in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Reds' opponents are at .252 (24th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Reds 31-42-73 15-17-42 16-25-31 11-10-21 20-32-52 0-0-0 3-3-4
    Brewers 38-31-78 26-14-34 12-17-43 34-24-59 4-7-19 0-0-1 1-3-6

Lead After Three Innings

The Reds are +140 to lead after three innings, while the Brewers are -180.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Reds 44-58-44 24-24-26 20-34-18 15-14-13 29-44-31 0-0-0 4-3-3
    Brewers 62-50-35 35-19-20 27-31-14 49-39-29 13-11-6 0-0-1 2-5-3

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -130 and the YRFI is paying +100.

  • The NRFI is 68-78 in Reds games this season. The Brewers have a 74-73 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Reds recorded a 12-8 victory over the Brewers at Great American Ball Park on Sunday. Elly De La Cruz was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording 4 RBIs.