MLB Prop Bets: Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies (September 11, 2026)
The Philadelphia Phillies (82-65) face the Atlanta Braves (86-61) at Truist Park on Friday at 7:15pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Aaron Nola is the probable pitcher for the Phillies, while Chris Sale is the probable pitcher for the Braves. The Braves are favored to win at -185, while the Phillies are at +152. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -107.
- The Phillies (-142) have a 62-85 Run Line record this season, while the Braves (+118) hold a record of 80-67.
- The Phillies have a 66-72-9 O/U record this season (meaning 66 games have gone over the total runs line, 72 have gone under and nine have resulted in a push). The Braves have a 64-73-10 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Phillies are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season (15th in the league). Comparatively, the Braves are averaging 4.6 (10th).
- In the field, the Phillies are allowing 4.2 runs per game this season (10th in the league), while the Braves are allowing an average of 3.8 runs (2nd).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Phillies are at .242 (ranking 19th in the Major leagues), while the Braves are batting .246 (13th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Braves have hit 183 (7th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Phillies have managed 173 (12th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Phillies have recorded 639 RBIs to rank 11th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Braves have recorded 644 RBIs to rank 10th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Braves have an earned run average of 3.58 this season (3rd in the Majors), while The Phillies have an ERA of 3.98 (11th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Phillies have recorded 1437 this season, ranking 1st in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Braves rank 13th for total strikeouts, recording 1240.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .232 against the Braves this season (5th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Phillies' opponents are at .245 (18th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | 40-33-74 | 26-15-34 | 13-18-40 | 34-25-55 | 6-8-19 | 1-0-0 | 3-0-7 |
| Braves | 33-31-83 | 22-10-43 | 11-21-39 | 25-23-57 | 8-8-26 | 0-0-1 | 0-2-8 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Phillies are +160 to lead after three innings, while the Braves are -210.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | 65-51-31 | 37-24-14 | 27-27-17 | 55-38-21 | 10-13-10 | 1-0-0 | 4-3-3 |
| Braves | 60-53-34 | 40-21-14 | 20-32-19 | 51-31-23 | 9-22-11 | 0-0-1 | 2-5-3 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -120 and the YRFI is paying -105.
- The NRFI is 71-76 in Phillies games this season. The Braves have a 76-71 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Phillies recorded an 1-0 victory over the Braves at Citizens Bank Park on Monday. Kyle Schwarber was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording an RBI.
