MLB Prop Bets: Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros (September 11, 2026)
The Houston Astros (75-72) face the Tampa Bay Rays (87-59) at Tropicana Field on Friday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Miguel Ullola is the probable pitcher for the Astros, while Drew Rasmussen is the probable pitcher for the Rays. The Rays are favored to win at -174, while the Astros are at +143. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105.
- The Astros (-149) have a 76-71 Run Line record this season, while the Rays (+123) hold a record of 80-66.
- The Astros have a 73-65-9 O/U record this season (meaning 73 games have gone over the total runs line, 65 have gone under and nine have resulted in a push). The Rays have a 68-74-4 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Astros are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season (13th in the league). Comparatively, the Rays are averaging 4.5 (12th).
- In the field, the Astros are allowing 4.8 runs per game this season (24th in the league), while the Rays are allowing an average of 4.2 runs (8th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Astros are at .241 (ranking 20th in the Major leagues), while the Rays are batting .260 (1st).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Rays have hit 155 (22nd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Astros have managed 193 (5th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Astros have recorded 631 RBIs to rank 14th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Rays have recorded 630 RBIs to rank 15th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Rays have an earned run average of 3.81 this season (8th in the Majors), while The Astros have an ERA of 4.52 (24th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Astros have recorded 1291 this season, ranking 9th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Rays rank 22nd for total strikeouts, recording 1177.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .231 against the Rays this season (4th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Astros' opponents are at .238 (12th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | 39-36-72 | 23-14-38 | 16-22-34 | 18-14-32 | 21-22-40 | 0-0-0 | 2-0-8 |
| Rays | 34-28-84 | 17-13-42 | 17-15-42 | 25-21-51 | 9-7-33 | 0-0-0 | 1-1-8 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Astros are +154 to lead after three innings, while the Rays are -200.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | 53-58-36 | 32-27-16 | 21-31-20 | 24-27-13 | 29-31-23 | 0-0-0 | 6-1-3 |
| Rays | 60-42-44 | 28-22-22 | 32-20-22 | 44-30-23 | 16-12-21 | 0-0-0 | 5-1-4 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -120 and the YRFI is paying -110.
- The NRFI is 68-79 in Astros games this season. The Rays have a 78-68 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Astros recorded a 2-0 victory over the Rays at Daikin Park when these teams last met on July 5. Isaac Paredes was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording an RBI.
