NBA Prop Bets: Houston Rockets vs Toronto Raptors (March 10, 2026)

The Toronto Raptors (36-27) face the Houston Rockets (39-24) at Toyota Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup. The Rockets opened as 5.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 4.5, leaving the Rockets at -192 and Raptors at +160. The total points line is set at 217.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 111-106 Houston.

The Rockets (-115) have a 28-35-0 ATS record this season, while the Raptors (-105) hold a record of 32-31-0.
The Rockets have a 28-35-0 O/U record this season (meaning 28 games have gone over the total points line and 35 have gone under). The Raptors have a 24-39-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

The Rockets are averaging 114.6 points per game this season (20th in the league). Comparatively, the Raptors are averaging 113.7 (22nd).
Defensively, the Rockets are giving up only 109.9 points per game this season (4th in the league), while the Raptors are giving up an average of 111.7 points (8th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

The Rockets currently rank 29th for pace this season, recording 95.9 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Raptors sit 21st on that scale with 98.5 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

Looking at field goal splits, 34.3% of the Rockets' field goal attempts come from three point range (29th in the league), leaving 65.7% from two. Meanwhile, the Raptors' opponents are taking 42.5% of their attempts from three (16th) and 57.5% from two.
Comparatively, Toronto takes only 37.0% of shots from three (25th), leaving 63.0% from two, while Houston's opponents are attempting a similarly low 40.1% from three (6th) and 59.9% from two.

Beyond the Arc

In terms of made three-pointers, the Rockets are shooting 36.8% from deep in 2025/26 (7th in the NBA), compared to the Raptors who are making 34.6% of their attempts (22nd).
On the opposite end, Houston is holding opponents to 35.1% of their three-point attempts (9th), while Toronto's opponents are hitting 34.7% of their shots (3rd).

Ball Protection

The Rockets are committing 15.6 turnovers per game this season, ranking 28th in the league. The Raptors may be well placed to take advantage of those numbers given they're forcing 16.0 turnovers per contest (4th).
Flipping that script, Houston is forcing 13.5 turnovers (23rd), while Toronto is committing 13.8 (7th).

Crashing the Boards

Houston is pulling down 48.2 rebounds per game this season (1st in the league), including 15.2 offensive boards (1st). Conversely, Toronto's opponents are averaging 43.5 rebounds (13th), 11.0 of which have come on the offensive end (8th).
Meanwhile, the Raptors are averaging only 42.6 rebounds (24th) and 11.2 offensive rebounds (18th), while the Rockets are allowing an impressive 39.7 and 11.6, ranking 2nd and 19th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Houston	36-24-3	15-13-1	21-11-2	33-21-2	3-3-1	3-7-0
Toronto	33-28-2	18-15-0	15-13-2	22-14-1	11-14-1	4-6-0

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Houston	34-27-2	15-14-0	19-13-2	32-23-1	2-4-1	7-3-0
Toronto	36-27-0	20-13-0	16-14-0	24-13-0	12-14-0	4-6-0

HT/FT

Houston is -120 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Toronto is +215.

The Rockets have completed the HT/FT double in 39.7% of games this season, while the Raptors have completed the HT/FT double in 42.9% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Tuesday's matchup is +1500 to go to overtime.

The Rockets have played in seven games that went to overtime this season, while the Raptors have appeared in four.

Both Teams 110+

Both teams have scored 110+ points in 21 of Houston's 63 games this season. Meanwhile, 23 of Toronto's 63 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Houston recorded a 139-121 victory over Toronto at Scotiabank Arena when these teams last met on October 29. Alperen Sengun was prominent on that day, recording 18 points, eight rebounds, nine assists and two steals. The Rockets have now won three straight against the Raptors.