NBA Prop Bets: Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks (March 10, 2026)

The Dallas Mavericks (21-43) face the Atlanta Hawks (33-31) at State Farm Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup. The Hawks are favored to win at -395, currently marked as 8.5-point favorites, while the Mavericks are at +310. The total points line is set at 239.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 124-116 Atlanta.

The Hawks (-118) have a 33-31-0 ATS record this season, while the Mavericks (-102) hold a record of 28-35-1.
The Hawks have a 32-32-0 O/U record this season (meaning 32 games have gone over the total points line and 32 have gone under). The Mavericks have a 27-37-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

The Hawks are averaging 117.7 points per game this season (7th in the league). Comparatively, the Mavericks are averaging only 113.0 (23rd).
Defensively, the Hawks are giving up 117.3 points per game this season (21st in the league), while the Mavericks are giving up an average of 117.7 points (22nd).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

The Hawks currently rank 2nd for pace this season, recording 102.1 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Mavericks sit 4th on that scale with 101.6 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

Looking at field goal splits, 42.7% of the Hawks' field goal attempts come from three point range (10th in the league), leaving 57.3% from two. Meanwhile, the Mavericks' opponents are taking 38.6% of their attempts from three (12th) and 61.4% from two.
Comparatively, Dallas takes 35.0% of shots from three (28th), leaving 65.0% from two, while Atlanta's opponents are attempting 40.7% from three (17th) and 59.3% from two.

Beyond the Arc

In terms of made three-pointers, the Hawks are shooting 36.9% from deep in 2025/26 (6th in the NBA), compared to the Mavericks who are making an underwhelming 33.9% of their attempts (28th).
On the opposite end, Atlanta is holding opponents to 35.6% of their three-point attempts (14th), while Dallas' opponents are hitting 34.0% of their shots (1st).

Ball Protection

The Hawks are committing 14.4 turnovers per game this season, ranking 13th in the league, while the Mavericks are forcing 13.2 turnovers (25th).
Flipping that script, Atlanta is forcing 15.8 turnovers (6th), while Dallas is committing 14.8 (T19th).

Crashing the Boards

Atlanta is pulling down 43.2 rebounds per game this season (20th in the league), including 10.5 offensive boards (22nd). Conversely, Dallas' opponents are averaging 46.8 rebounds (27th), 12.2 of which have come on the offensive end (28th).
Meanwhile, the Mavericks are averaging an impressive 44.7 rebounds (10th) and 10.1 offensive rebounds (25th), while the Hawks are allowing 46.3 and 11.6, ranking 26th and 17th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Atlanta	31-29-4	14-13-4	17-16-0	16-10-3	15-19-1	5-5-0
Dallas	21-41-2	12-20-1	9-21-1	10-11-0	11-30-2	4-6-0

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Atlanta	31-31-2	14-16-1	17-15-1	18-11-0	13-20-2	5-5-0
Dallas	21-42-1	11-21-1	10-21-0	10-11-0	11-31-1	3-7-0

HT/FT

Atlanta is -275 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Dallas is +475.

The Hawks have completed the HT/FT double in 37.5% of games this season, while the Mavericks have completed the HT/FT double in 21.9% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Tuesday's matchup is +1900 to go to overtime.

The Hawks have played in one game that went to overtime this season, while the Mavericks have appeared in four.

Both Teams 110+

Both teams have scored 110+ points in 35 of Atlanta's 64 games this season. Meanwhile, 34 of Dallas' 64 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Dallas recorded a 120-118 victory over Atlanta at American Airlines Center when these teams last met on April 2, 2025. Anthony Davis came up big on that day, scoring 34 points and adding 15 rebounds. The Mavericks have now won four straight against the Hawks.