NBA Prop Bets: Golden State Warriors vs Chicago Bulls (March 10, 2026)

The Chicago Bulls (26-38) face the Golden State Warriors (32-32) at Chase Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup. The Warriors opened as 5.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 6.5, leaving the Warriors at -238 and Bulls at +195. The total points line is set at 227.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 117-110 Golden State.

• The Warriors (-110) have a 29-35-0 ATS record this season, while the Bulls (-110) hold a record of 28-35-1.
• The Warriors have a 37-26-1 O/U record this season (meaning 37 games have gone over the total points line, 26 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Bulls have a 28-35-1 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Warriors are averaging 115.1 points per game this season (19th in the league). Comparatively, the Bulls are averaging 115.4 (16th).
• Defensively, the Warriors are giving up 114.0 points per game this season (12th in the league), while the Bulls are giving up an average of 119.8 points (25th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Warriors currently rank 17th for pace this season, recording 99.4 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Bulls sit 3rd on that scale with 101.7 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 50.7% of the Warriors' field goal attempts come from three point range (1st in the league), leaving 49.3% from two. Notably, the Bulls' opponents are taking 40.4% of their attempts from three (21st) and 59.6% from two.
• Comparatively, Chicago takes 44.8% of shots from three (7th), leaving 55.2% from two, while Golden State's opponents are attempting 40.5% from three (8th) and 59.5% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Warriors are shooting 35.8% from deep in 2025/26 (15th in the NBA), compared to the Bulls who are making 36.4% of their attempts (8th).
• On the opposite end, Golden State is holding opponents to 35.4% of their three-point attempts (10th), while Chicago's opponents are doing things easier, hitting 36.8% of their shots (27th).

Ball Protection

• The Warriors are committing 15.5 turnovers per game this season, ranking 24th in the league, while the Bulls are forcing 12.6 turnovers (T27th).
• Flipping that script, Golden State is forcing 16.0 turnovers (5th), while Chicago is committing 15.1 (22nd).

Crashing the Boards

• Golden State is pulling down 43.0 rebounds per game this season (22nd in the league), including 11.4 offensive boards (15th). Conversely, Chicago's opponents are averaging 45.4 rebounds (23rd), 11.1 of which have come on the offensive end (9th).
• Meanwhile, the Bulls are averaging 44.8 rebounds (9th) and 10.1 offensive rebounds (24th), while the Warriors are allowing 45.1 and 11.8, ranking 21st and 21st.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Bulls are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
• Chicago holds a 3-7 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back this season, as well as a 3-7-0 ATS record and 3-7-0 O/U record.
• Additionally, Golden State has a 5-6 W-L record, 5-6-0 ATS record and 5-6-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back this season.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Golden State	26-34-4	14-16-2	12-18-2	18-20-4	8-14-0	5-5-0
Chicago	23-37-4	15-18-1	8-19-3	11-13-1	12-24-3	4-5-1

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Golden State	36-28-0	19-13-0	17-15-0	26-16-0	10-12-0	5-5-0
Chicago	21-41-2	12-21-1	9-20-1	9-16-0	12-25-2	2-8-0

HT/FT

Golden State is -175 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Chicago is +310.

• The Warriors have completed the HT/FT double in 40.6% of games this season, while the Bulls have completed the HT/FT double in 20.3% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Tuesday's matchup is +1600 to go to overtime.

• The Warriors have played in three games that went to overtime this season, while the Bulls have appeared in one.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 33 of Golden State's 64 games this season. Meanwhile, 39 of Chicago's 64 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Golden State recorded a 123-91 blowout victory against Chicago at United Center when these teams last met on December 7. Brandin Podziemski was prominent on that day, recording 21 points, eight rebounds, seven assists and two steals. The Warriors have now won three straight against the Bulls.