NBA Prop Bets: Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers (March 10, 2026)

The Indiana Pacers (15-49) face the Sacramento Kings (15-50) at Golden 1 Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup. The Kings are favored to win at -170, currently marked as 3.5-point favorites, while the Pacers are at +142. The total points line is set at 236.5, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 120-116 Sacramento.

• The Kings (-115) have a 25-39-1 ATS record this season, while the Pacers (-105) hold a record of 28-36-0.
• The Kings have a 32-33-0 O/U record this season (meaning 32 games have gone over the total points line and 33 have gone under). The Pacers have a 30-34-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Kings are averaging 110.6 points per game this season (29th in the league). Comparatively, the Pacers are averaging 111.4 (27th).
• Defensively, the Kings are giving up a whopping 121.1 points per game this season (28th in the league), while the Pacers are giving up an average of 120.0 points (26th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

• The Kings currently rank 15th for pace this season, recording 99.6 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Pacers sit 7th on that scale with 101.1 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, just 33.6% of the Kings' field goal attempts come from three point range (30th in the league), leaving 66.4% from two. Meanwhile, the Pacers' opponents are taking only 37.4% of their attempts from three (3rd) and 62.6% from two.
• Comparatively, Indiana takes 41.7% of shots from three (17th), leaving 58.3% from two, while Sacramento's opponents are attempting 40.4% from three (10th) and 59.6% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Kings are shooting 33.5% from deep in 2025/26 (30th in the NBA), compared to the Pacers who are making 34.6% of their attempts (21st).
• On the opposite end, Sacramento is holding opponents to 36.8% of their three-point attempts (26th), while Indiana's opponents are doing it tougher, hitting 35.0% of their shots (8th).

Ball Protection

• The Kings are committing 14.2 turnovers per game this season, ranking 10th in the league, while the Pacers are forcing 13.8 turnovers (20th).
• Flipping that script, Sacramento is forcing 14.3 turnovers (17th), while Indiana is committing 14.4 (14th).

Crashing the Boards

• Sacramento is pulling down 41.8 rebounds per game this season (26th in the league), including 11.3 offensive boards (16th). Conversely, Indiana's opponents are averaging 46.9 rebounds (28th), 11.0 of which have come on the offensive end (7th).
• Meanwhile, the Pacers are averaging 42.2 rebounds (25th) and 10.2 offensive rebounds (23rd), while the Kings are allowing 44.9 and 11.4, ranking 17th and 15th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Sacramento	25-37-3	18-13-1	7-24-2	3-3-0	22-34-3	6-4-0
Indiana	23-38-3	14-17-1	9-21-2	4-5-0	19-33-3	3-5-2

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Sacramento	19-44-2	10-21-1	9-23-1	2-3-1	17-41-1	3-7-0
Indiana	21-42-1	10-21-1	11-21-0	4-5-0	17-37-1	1-9-0

HT/FT

Sacramento is -110 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Indiana is +200.

• The Kings have completed the HT/FT double in 15.4% of games this season, while the Pacers have completed the HT/FT double in 15.6% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Tuesday's matchup is +1400 to go to overtime.

• The Kings have played in three games that went to overtime this season, while the Pacers have appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 32 of Sacramento's 65 games this season. Meanwhile, 33 of Indiana's 64 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Indiana recorded a 116-105 victory over Sacramento at Gainbridge Fieldhouse when these teams last met on December 8. Despite being on the losing side, Russell Westbrook had a triple-double for the ages on that day, finishing with 24 points, 12 rebounds and 14 assists. The Pacers have now won three straight against the Kings.