NBA Prop Bets: Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves (March 10, 2026)

The Minnesota Timberwolves (40-24) face the Los Angeles Lakers (39-25) at Crypto.com Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Tuesday's matchup. The Timberwolves opened as 1.5-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 2.5, leaving the Timberwolves at -135 and the Lakers at +114. The total points line is set at 233.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 118-116 Minnesota.

The Lakers (-112) have a 33-29-2 ATS record this season, while the Timberwolves (-108) hold a record of 27-37-0.
The Lakers have a 33-30-1 O/U record this season (meaning 33 games have gone over the total points line, 30 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Timberwolves have a 30-34-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

The Lakers are averaging 115.9 points per game this season (12th in the league). Comparatively, the Timberwolves are averaging 118.6 (T5th).
Defensively, the Lakers are giving up 115.0 points per game this season (15th in the league), while the Timberwolves are giving up an average of 114.5 points (13th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams are playing this season?

Pace

The Lakers currently rank 20th for pace this season, recording 98.5 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Timberwolves sit 10th on that scale with 100.7 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

Looking at field goal splits, just 40.2% of the Lakers' field goal attempts come from three point range (24th in the league), leaving 59.8% from two. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves' opponents are taking only 38.6% of their attempts from three (4th) and 61.4% from two.
Comparatively, Minnesota takes 42.5% of shots from three (T14th), leaving 57.5% from two, while the Lakers' opponents are attempting 41.4% from three (13th) and 58.6% from two.

Beyond the Arc

In terms of made three-pointers, the Lakers are shooting 35.8% from deep in 2025/26 (16th in the NBA), compared to the Timberwolves who are making 37.2% of their attempts (5th).
On the opposite end, the Lakers are holding opponents to 35.8% of their three-point attempts (16th), while Minnesota's opponents are hitting 35.9% of their shots (17th).

Ball Protection

The Lakers are committing 14.7 turnovers per game this season, ranking 17th in the league, while the Timberwolves are forcing 15.1 turnovers (12th).
Flipping that script, the Lakers are forcing 14.6 turnovers (15th), while Minnesota is committing 14.6 (16th).

Crashing the Boards

The Lakers are pulling down just 40.9 rebounds per game this season (29th in the league), including 9.5 offensive boards (28th). Conversely, Minnesota's opponents are averaging a paltry 43.1 rebounds (10th), 11.2 of which have come on the offensive end (13th).
Meanwhile, the Timberwolves are averaging 44.6 rebounds (11th) and 11.2 offensive rebounds (17th), while the Lakers are allowing 41.1 and 10.8, ranking 3rd and 6th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
LA Lakers	29-32-3	14-16-2	15-16-1	23-14-3	6-18-0	7-2-1
Minnesota	33-29-2	16-17-1	17-12-1	26-23-2	7-6-0	7-3-0

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records in 2025/26.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
LA Lakers	28-33-3	16-16-0	12-17-3	21-18-1	7-15-2	7-2-1
Minnesota	32-30-2	17-16-1	15-14-1	24-25-2	8-5-0	7-3-0

HT/FT

The Lakers are +160 to complete the HT/FT double. Conversely, Minnesota is +115.

The Lakers have completed the HT/FT double in 40.6% of games this season, while the Timberwolves have completed the HT/FT double in 34.4% of games.

To Go To Overtime

Tuesday's matchup is +1400 to go to overtime.

The Lakers have not played in a game that went to overtime this season. Comparatively, the Timberwolves have appeared in three such contests.

Both Teams 110+

Both teams have scored 110+ points in 31 of the Lakers' 64 games this season. Meanwhile, 35 of Minnesota's 64 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

The Lakers recorded an upset 116-115 victory over Minnesota at Target Center when these teams last met on October 29. Austin Reaves was immense on that day, recording a 28-point, 16-assist double-double. That result snapped the Timberwolves' six-game winning streak against the Lakers at Target Center.