NBA Prop Bets: Cleveland Cavaliers vs Minnesota Timberwolves (October 26, 2026)
The Minnesota Timberwolves (3-0) face the Cleveland Cavaliers (1-1) at Rocket Arena. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The Cavaliers are favored to win at -148, currently marked as 3.5-point favorites, while the Timberwolves are at +124. The total points line is set at 232.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 118-114 Cleveland.
- The Cavaliers (-105) have a 39-62-1 ATS record since the beginning of last season, while the Timberwolves (-115) hold a record of 46-51-0 across the same span.
- The Cavaliers have a 53-49-0 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 53 games have gone over the total points line and 49 have gone under). The Timberwolves have a 44-53-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Cavaliers have scored 119.4 points per game since the beginning of last season (4th in the league). Comparatively, the Timberwolves have averaged 118.1 over the same span (7th).
- Defensively, the Cavaliers have allowed 115.5 points per game since the beginning of last season (16th in the league), while the Timberwolves have given up an average of 114.0 points over that span (11th).
Game Style
What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams have played since the beginning of last season?
Pace
- The Cavaliers rank 12th for pace since the beginning of last season, recording 100.1 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Timberwolves sit 9th on that scale with 100.6 possessions per contest.
Field Goal Split
- Looking at field goal splits, 44.1% of the Cavaliers' field goal attempts have come from three point range since the beginning of last season (7th in the league), leaving 55.9% from two. Meanwhile, the Timberwolves' opponents are taking 38.1% of their attempts from three (2nd) and 61.9% from two.
- Comparatively, Minnesota has taken 42.0% of shots from three (17th), leaving 58.0% from two, while Cleveland's opponents have attempted 42.8% from three (20th) and 57.2% from two.
Beyond the Arc
- In terms of made three-pointers, the Cavaliers have shot 35.9% from deep since the beginning of last season (13th in the NBA), compared to the Timberwolves who are making 37.2% of their attempts (4th).
- On the opposite end, Cleveland has held opponents to 37.1% of their three-point attempts (26th), while Minnesota's opponents have been doing it tougher, hitting 35.1% of their shots (9th).
Ball Protection
- The Cavaliers are committing 14.2 turnovers per game since the beginning of last season, ranking 9th in the league, while the Timberwolves have forced 15.1 turnovers (T11th) across the same period.
- Flipping that script, Cleveland has forced 15.1 turnovers (10th), while Minnesota has committed 14.9 (19th).
Crashing the Boards
- Cleveland is pulling down 44.5 rebounds per game since the beginning of last season (11th in the league), including 11.7 offensive boards (11th). Conversely, Minnesota's opponents are averaging 43.5 rebounds (13th), 11.6 of which have come on the offensive end (21st).
- Meanwhile, the Timberwolves have averaged 44.4 rebounds (12th) and 11.2 offensive rebounds (17th), while the Cavaliers are allowing 43.2 and 11.3, ranking 12th and 13th.
Back-to-backs
- Notably, the Cavaliers are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set for the first time this season.
- Cleveland held an 8-6 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back last season, as well as a 5-9-0 ATS record and 8-6-0 O/U record.
- Additionally, Minnesota had a 10-3 W-L record, 7-6-0 ATS record and 5-8-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back last season.
First Quarter Winner
Here are their first quarter records since the beginning of last season.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland | 52-45-5 | 23-26-2 | 29-19-3 | 43-31-4 | 9-14-1 |
| Minnesota | 49-46-2 | 22-25-1 | 27-21-1 | 34-24-2 | 15-22-0 |
First Half Winner
Here are their first half records since the beginning of last season.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland | 48-51-3 | 24-26-1 | 24-25-2 | 40-35-3 | 8-16-0 |
| Minnesota | 49-40-8 | 26-20-2 | 23-20-6 | 32-25-3 | 17-15-5 |
HT/FT
- The Cavaliers have completed the HT/FT double in 40.2% of games since the beginning of last season, while the Timberwolves have completed the HT/FT double in 37.1% of games.
To Go To Overtime
- The Cavaliers have played in six games that went to overtime since the beginning of last season, while the Timberwolves have appeared in four.
Both Teams 110+
- Both teams have scored 110+ points in 55 of Cleveland's 102 games since the beginning of last season. Meanwhile, 43 of Minnesota's 97 games have seen both squads reach that number.
Last Time They Met
Cleveland recorded a 146-134 victory over Minnesota at Rocket Arena when these teams last met on January 10, 2026. Donovan Mitchell was influential on that day, recording 28 points and eight assists. The Cavaliers have now won three straight at Rocket Arena against the Timberwolves.
NBA Injury News – Minnesota Timberwolves @ Cleveland Cavaliers (October 26, 2026)
DiVincenzo said on Monday (Oct. 5) that he remains confident that he'll return during the 2026-27 season, per Jon Krawczynski of The Athletic.
The Cavaliers said on Tuesday (Oct. 20) that Tomlin will miss at least 3-4 weeks with lower back stress reaction.
The Cavaliers listed Diop as OUT for Monday's (Oct. 26) game against the Timberwolves.
