NBA Prop Bets: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns (October 26, 2026)

The Phoenix Suns (1-1) face the Oklahoma City Thunder (3-0) at Paycom Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The Thunder are favored to win at -395, currently marked as 9.5-point favorites, while the Suns are at +310. The total points line is set at 218.5, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -105, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 114-104 Oklahoma City.

• The Thunder (-115) have a 49-50-1 ATS record since the beginning of last season, while the Suns (-105) hold a record of 49-38-3 across the same span.
• The Thunder have a 55-45-0 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 55 games have gone over the total points line and 45 have gone under). The Suns have a 41-47-2 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Thunder have scored 118.6 points per game since the beginning of last season (6th in the league). Comparatively, the Suns have averaged only 112.5 over the same span (27th).
• Defensively, the Thunder have allowed just 107.5 points per game since the beginning of last season (2nd in the league), while the Suns have given up an average of 111.4 points over that span (7th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams have played since the beginning of last season?

Pace

• The Thunder rank 18th for pace since the beginning of last season, recording 99.3 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Suns sit 25th on that scale with 97.2 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 42.3% of the Thunder's field goal attempts have come from three point range since the beginning of last season (15th in the league), leaving 57.7% from two. Meanwhile, the Suns' opponents are taking 41.2% of their attempts from three (6th) and 58.8% from two.
• Comparatively, Phoenix has taken 45.2% of shots from three (5th), leaving 54.8% from two, while Oklahoma City's opponents have attempted a similarly high 43.9% from three (24th) and 56.1% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Thunder have shot 36.4% from deep since the beginning of last season (10th in the NBA), compared to the Suns who are making 36.0% of their attempts (12th).
• On the opposite end, Oklahoma City has held opponents to 36.7% of their three-point attempts (24th), while Phoenix's opponents have been doing it tougher, hitting 34.9% of their shots (5th).

Ball Protection

• The Thunder are committing 12.6 turnovers per game since the beginning of last season, ranking 2nd in the league, while the Suns have forced 16.3 turnovers (4th) across the same period.
• Flipping that script, Oklahoma City has forced 16.9 turnovers (1st), while Phoenix has committed 14.5 (14th).

Crashing the Boards

• Oklahoma City is pulling down 44.2 rebounds per game since the beginning of last season (13th in the league), including 9.7 offensive boards (27th). Conversely, Phoenix's opponents are averaging 43.8 rebounds (16th), 11.9 of which have come on the offensive end (24th).
• Meanwhile, the Suns have averaged 43.0 rebounds (20th) and 12.9 offensive rebounds (4th), while the Thunder are allowing 45.2 and 11.9, ranking 21st and 23rd.

Back-to-backs

• Notably, the Suns are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set for the first time this season.
• Phoenix held a 7-9 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back last season, as well as a 6-10-0 ATS record and 8-8-0 O/U record.
• Additionally, Oklahoma City had an 11-2 W-L record, 5-8-0 ATS record and 6-7-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back last season.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records since the beginning of last season.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Oklahoma City	61-31-8	30-16-6	31-15-2	59-25-8	2-6-0
Phoenix	44-41-5	24-21-1	20-20-4	23-17-2	21-24-3

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records since the beginning of last season.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog	Last 10
Oklahoma City	69-31-0	33-19-0	36-12-0	66-26-0	3-5-0
Phoenix	45-43-2	23-21-2	22-22-0	26-15-1	19-28-1

HT/FT

• The Thunder have completed the HT/FT double in 61.0% of games since the beginning of last season, while the Suns have completed the HT/FT double in 41.1% of games.

To Go To Overtime

• The Thunder have played in six games that went to overtime since the beginning of last season, while the Suns have appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 32 of Oklahoma City's 100 games since the beginning of last season. Meanwhile, 33 of Phoenix's 90 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Oklahoma City recorded a 131-122 victory over Phoenix at Mortgage Matchup Center when these teams last met in Game 4 of last season's Western Conference first round playoff series. Chet Holmgren was prominent on that day, recording 24 points, 12 rebounds, three assists and two steals. The Thunder have now won four straight against the Suns.