NBA Prop Bets: Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks (October 26, 2026)

The Atlanta Hawks (2-1) face the Houston Rockets (3-0) at Toyota Center. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The Rockets are favored to win at -205, currently marked as 5.5-point favorites, while the Hawks are at +170. The total points line is set at 229.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 118-112 Houston.

• The Rockets (-110) have a 41-50-0 ATS record since the beginning of last season, while the Hawks (-110) hold a record of 48-43-0 across the same span.
• The Rockets have a 43-47-1 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 43 games have gone over the total points line, 47 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Hawks have a 46-45-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

• The Rockets have scored 115.4 points per game since the beginning of last season (18th in the league). Comparatively, the Hawks have averaged +3.2 more at 118.7 points over the same span (5th).
• Defensively, the Rockets have allowed just 110.1 points per game since the beginning of last season (5th in the league), while the Hawks have given up an average of 115.8 points over that span (18th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams have played since the beginning of last season?

Pace

• The Rockets rank 29th for pace since the beginning of last season, recording 96.2 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Hawks sit 5th on that scale with 101.7 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

• Looking at field goal splits, 35.1% of the Rockets' field goal attempts have come from three point range since the beginning of last season (28th in the league), leaving 64.9% from two. Meanwhile, the Hawks' opponents are taking 40.8% of their attempts from three (13th) and 59.2% from two.
• Comparatively, Atlanta has taken 43.0% of shots from three (8th), leaving 57.0% from two, while Houston's opponents have attempted 40.3% from three (7th) and 59.7% from two.

Beyond the Arc

• In terms of made three-pointers, the Rockets have shot 36.6% from deep since the beginning of last season (9th in the NBA), compared to the Hawks who are making 37.0% of their attempts (6th).
• On the opposite end, Houston has held opponents to 34.8% of their three-point attempts (4th), while Atlanta's opponents have hit 35.3% of their shots (12th).

Ball Protection

• The Rockets are committing 15.4 turnovers per game since the beginning of last season, ranking 23rd in the league, while the Hawks have forced 16.2 turnovers (5th) across the same period.
• Flipping that script, Houston has forced 13.6 turnovers (22nd), while Atlanta has committed 14.2 (10th).

Crashing the Boards

• Houston is pulling down 47.9 rebounds per game since the beginning of last season (1st in the league), including 15.0 offensive boards (1st). Conversely, Atlanta's opponents are averaging 45.2 rebounds (20th), 11.2 of which have come on the offensive end (11th).
• Meanwhile, the Hawks have averaged 43.6 rebounds (17th) and 11.1 offensive rebounds (19th), while the Rockets are allowing 39.4 and 11.3, ranking 2nd and 14th.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records since the beginning of last season.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Houston	49-37-5	25-18-2	24-19-3	43-31-4	6-6-1
Atlanta	43-44-4	21-20-4	22-24-0	25-16-3	18-28-1

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records since the beginning of last season.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Houston	53-36-2	28-17-0	25-19-2	46-31-1	7-5-1
Atlanta	49-39-3	24-19-2	25-20-1	31-12-1	18-27-2

HT/FT

• The Rockets have completed the HT/FT double in 46.2% of games since the beginning of last season, while the Hawks have completed the HT/FT double in 42.9% of games.

To Go To Overtime

• The Rockets have played in nine games that went to overtime since the beginning of last season, while the Hawks have appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

• Both teams have scored 110+ points in 30 of Houston's 91 games since the beginning of last season. Meanwhile, 45 of Atlanta's 91 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Houston recorded a 121-114 victory over Atlanta at State Farm Arena when these teams last met on October 24. Despite being on the losing side, Jalen Johnson was immense on that day, recording a 26-point, 16-assist double-double. The Rockets have now won five straight against the Hawks.