NBA Prop Bets: Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers (October 26, 2026)

The Indiana Pacers (2-1) face the Milwaukee Bucks (0-3) at Fiserv Forum. Let's take a look at the NBA Prop Bets for Monday's matchup. The Pacers are favored to win at -170, currently marked as 4.5-point favorites, while the Bucks are at +142. The total points line is set at 240.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 122-118 Indiana.

The Bucks (-115) have a 37-48-0 ATS record since the beginning of last season, while the Pacers (-105) hold a record of 41-43-1 across the same span.
The Bucks have a 42-43-0 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 42 games have gone over the total points line and 43 have gone under). The Pacers have a 43-42-0 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

The Bucks have scored 110.9 points per game since the beginning of last season (29th in the league). Comparatively, the Pacers have averaged 112.7 over the same span (26th).
Defensively, the Bucks have allowed 117.3 points per game since the beginning of last season (21st in the league), while the Pacers have given up an average of 120.3 points over that span (25th).

Game Style

What do the stats tell us about the style of basketball these teams have played since the beginning of last season?

Pace

The Bucks rank 23rd for pace since the beginning of last season, recording 97.9 possessions per game. Alternatively, the Pacers sit 8th on that scale with 101.1 possessions per contest.

Field Goal Split

Looking at field goal splits, 45.7% of the Bucks' field goal attempts have come from three point range since the beginning of last season (10th in the league), leaving 54.3% from two. Meanwhile, the Pacers' opponents are taking 37.7% of their attempts from three (3rd) and 62.3% from two.
Comparatively, Indiana has taken 42.1% of shots from three (16th), leaving 57.9% from two, while Milwaukee's opponents have attempted 44.9% from three (28th) and 55.1% from two.

Beyond the Arc

In terms of made three-pointers, the Bucks have shot 38.6% from deep since the beginning of last season (2nd in the NBA), compared to the Pacers who are making 35.6% of their attempts (18th).
On the opposite end, Milwaukee has held opponents to 37.3% of their three-point attempts (28th), while Indiana's opponents have hit 35.6% of their shots (15th).

Ball Protection

The Bucks are committing 15.3 turnovers per game since the beginning of last season, ranking 22nd in the league, while the Pacers have forced 13.5 turnovers (23rd) across the same period.
Flipping that script, Milwaukee has forced 13.0 turnovers (26th), while Indiana has committed 14.6 (16th).

Crashing the Boards

Milwaukee is pulling down 41.0 rebounds per game since the beginning of last season (27th in the league), including 9.1 offensive boards (30th). Conversely, Indiana's opponents are averaging 46.6 rebounds (T28th), 11.2 of which have come on the offensive end (12th).
Meanwhile, the Pacers have averaged 41.9 rebounds (26th) and 9.8 offensive rebounds (26th), while the Bucks are allowing 44.4 and 11.1, ranking 19th and 9th.

Back-to-backs

Notably, the Bucks are playing the second leg of a back-to-back set.
Milwaukee holds a 7-1 W-L record on the second leg of a back-to-back since the beginning of last season, as well as a 10-6-0 ATS record and 10-6-0 O/U record.
Additionally, Indiana has a 3-11 W-L record, 4-10-0 ATS record and 8-6-0 O/U record against teams playing the second leg of a back-to-back since the beginning of last season.

First Quarter Winner

Here are their first quarter records since the beginning of last season.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Milwaukee	31-50-4	17-23-2	14-27-2	15-14-1	16-36-3
Indiana	31-50-4	15-25-2	16-25-2	6-7-0	25-43-4

First Half Winner

Here are their first half records since the beginning of last season.

	Total	Home	Road	Favorite	Underdog
Milwaukee	35-50-0	18-24-0	17-26-0	14-16-0	21-34-0
Indiana	29-55-1	12-29-1	17-26-0	6-7-0	23-48-1

HT/FT

The Bucks have completed the HT/FT double in 24.7% of games since the beginning of last season, while the Pacers have completed the HT/FT double in 16.5% of games.

To Go To Overtime

The Bucks have played in three games that went to overtime since the beginning of last season, while the Pacers have appeared in two.

Both Teams 110+

Both teams have scored 110+ points in 37 of Milwaukee's 85 games since the beginning of last season. Meanwhile, 44 of Indiana's 85 games have seen both squads reach that number.

Last Time They Met

Milwaukee recorded a 134-123 victory over Indiana at Fiserv Forum when these teams last met on March 15, 2026. Giannis Antetokounmpo came up big on that day, scoring 31 points and adding 14 rebounds. The Bucks have now won four straight against the Pacers.