home team icon
away team icon

NFL Prop Bets: Green Bay Packers vs Atlanta Falcons - Week 3

The Atlanta Falcons (0-2) face the Green Bay Packers (1-1) at Lambeau Field for Week 3. Let's take a look at the NFL Prop Bets for Thursday's matchup. The Packers started the week as 7.0-point favorites but the spread has since moved to 6.0, leaving the Packers at -290 and Falcons at +235.

The total points line is set at 44.5, with OVER at -102 and UNDER at -118, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 25-19 Green Bay.

  • The Falcons (-108) have an 8-11-0 ATS record since the beginning of last season, while the Packers (-112) hold a record of 5-12-3 across the same span.
  • The Falcons have an 8-10-1 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning eight games have gone over the total points line, 10 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Packers have a 10-9-1 O/U record.

Points on the board

  • The Falcons have scored 19.4 points per game since the beginning of last season (27th in the league). Comparatively, the Packers are performing better over the same span, averaging 22.8 (14th).
  • Defensively, the Falcons have conceded 23.9 points per game since the beginning of last season (19th in the league), while the Packers have given up an average of 21.9 points over that span (12th).

Moving the chains

  • With an average of 325.5, the Falcons rank 19th in the league for total yards per game since the beginning of last season. Comparatively, the Packers rank 15th with 330.1 yards per game over the same span.
  • In terms of yards allowed, the Falcons have given up 324.1 per game since the beginning of last season (16th in the league), while the Packers have allowed an average of 306.6 (11th).

Ascendency in the air

  • The Falcons have recorded 198.4 passing yards per game since the beginning of last season (22nd in the league). Comparatively, the Packers' defense has given up 192.1 passing yards per game (11th) across the same period.
  • Meanwhile, the Packers have recorded 216.1 passing yards per game since the beginning of last season (17th in the league), while the Falcons' defense is conceding 204.5 yards per game (15th) across the same period and although not rating significantly better, they may look to capitalise in this area.

Advantage on the ground

  • Looking at the ground game, the Falcons have recorded 127.1 rushing yards per game since the beginning of last season (7th in the league). Conversely, the Packers are giving up 114.5 rushing yards per game (13th) across the same period.
  • On the other hand, the Packers have recorded 114.0 rushing yards per game since the beginning of last season (22nd in the league), while the Falcons are giving up 119.6 rushing yards per game (19th).

Protecting the ball

  • Looking at their ability to force turnovers, the Falcons have recorded 24 total takeaways since the beginning of last season (T10th in the league), while the Packers have failed to perform at the same level, recording 15 (29th).
  • On offense, the Falcons have recorded 25 total giveaways since the beginning of last season (T21st in the league), while the Packers have taken better care of the ball, recording 16 (T3rd).

First to Score

The Falcons are +114 to score first, while the Packers are -145.

  • The Falcons have scored first in nine of their 19 games since the beginning of last season.
  • The Packers have scored first in 12 of their 20 games since the beginning of last season.

Which team will score the first touchdown?

The Falcons are +150 to record the first touchdown, while the Packers are -180.

  • The Falcons have recorded the first touchdown in eight of their 19 games since the beginning of last season.
  • The Packers have recorded the first touchdown in 13 of their 19 games since the beginning of last season.

First Scoring Play

    Play Frequency Odds
    Atlanta Touchdown4 / 19+320
    Atlanta Field Goal5 / 19+335
    Atlanta Safety0 / 19+6100
    Green Bay Touchdown5 / 19+158
    Green Bay Field Goal7 / 19+352
    Green Bay Safety0 / 19+6500

Which team will get a quick start?

The Falcons are +157 to be the first team to reach 10 points, while the Packers are -196.

  • The Falcons have been the first to score 10 points in eight of their 19 games since the beginning of last season.
  • The Packers have been the first to score 10 points in 13 of their 19 games since the beginning of last season.

First Quarter Moneyline

The Packers are favored in the 1st Quarter Moneyline market, currently at -175, while the Falcons are +145.

  • The Falcons have an 8-6-5 first quarter W/L/T record since the beginning of last season, while the Packers hold a record of 9-3-8 across the same span.

Last Time They Met

The Falcons recorded a 25-24 victory over the Packers at Mercedes-Benz Stadium when these teams last met in Week 2, 2023.