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NFL Prop Bets: Buffalo Bills vs Los Angeles Chargers - Week 3

The Los Angeles Chargers (0-2) face the Buffalo Bills (2-0) at Highmark Stadium for Week 3. Let's take a look at the NFL Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Bills are favored to win at -340, currently marked as 7.0-point favorites, while the Chargers are at +270.

The total points line is set at 50.5, with OVER at -105 and UNDER at -115, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 29-22 Buffalo.

  • The Chargers (-108) have a 9-11-0 ATS record since the beginning of last season, while the Bills (-112) hold a record of 11-10-0 across the same span.
  • The Chargers have a 6-13-1 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning six games have gone over the total points line, 13 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Bills have a 12-8-1 O/U record.

Points on the board

  • The Chargers have scored 20.8 points per game since the beginning of last season (22nd in the league). Comparatively, the Bills are performing better over the same span, averaging 29.4 (1st).
  • Defensively, the Chargers have conceded 20.6 points per game since the beginning of last season (11th in the league), while the Bills have given up an average of 22.5 points over that span (14th).

Moving the chains

  • With an average of just 329.1, the Chargers rank 16th in the league for total yards per game since the beginning of last season. Comparatively, the Bills rank 2nd with 381.7 yards per game over the same span.
  • In terms of yards allowed, the Chargers have given up 291.9 per game since the beginning of last season (7th in the league), while the Bills have allowed an average of 301.0 (9th).

Ascendency in the air

  • The Chargers have recorded 209.4 passing yards per game since the beginning of last season (18th in the league). That number won't intimidate the Bills who are conceding just 169.2 passing yards per game (2nd) across the same period.
  • Meanwhile, the Bills have recorded 223.6 passing yards per game since the beginning of last season (12th in the league), while the Chargers' defense is conceding 188.6 yards per game (8th) across the same period and although not rating significantly better, they may look to capitalise in this area.

Advantage on the ground

  • Looking at the ground game, the Chargers have recorded 119.7 rushing yards per game since the beginning of last season (11th in the league). Despite that indifferent ranking, they should look to take advantage in this area given the Bills are allowing 131.8 rushing yards per game (27th).
  • On the other hand, the Bills have recorded an impressive 158.1 rushing yards per game since the beginning of last season (1st in the league), although the Chargers have been effective at stopping the run, conceding just 103.4 yards per game (7th).

Protecting the ball

  • Looking at their ability to force turnovers, the Chargers have recorded 24 total takeaways since the beginning of last season (T10th in the league), while the Bills have recorded 22 (T13th).
  • On offense, the Chargers have recorded 26 total giveaways since the beginning of last season (T24th in the league), while the Bills have taken better care of the ball, recording 19 (T8th).

First to Score

The Chargers are +135 to score first, while the Bills are -175.

  • The Chargers have scored first in nine of their 20 games since the beginning of last season.
  • The Bills have scored first in 10 of their 21 games since the beginning of last season.

Which team will score the first touchdown?

The Chargers are +170 to record the first touchdown, while the Bills are -215.

  • The Chargers have recorded the first touchdown in eight of their 20 games since the beginning of last season.
  • The Bills have recorded the first touchdown in 11 of their 19 games since the beginning of last season.

First Scoring Play

    Play Frequency Odds
    LA Chargers Touchdown5 / 20+315
    LA Chargers Field Goal4 / 20+403
    LA Chargers Safety0 / 20+6400
    Buffalo Touchdown7 / 19+122
    Buffalo Field Goal3 / 19+438
    Buffalo Safety0 / 19+7300

Which team will get a quick start?

The Chargers are +171 to be the first team to reach 10 points, while the Bills are -216.

  • The Chargers have been the first to score 10 points in eight of their 20 games since the beginning of last season.
  • The Bills have been the first to score 10 points in 11 of their 19 games since the beginning of last season.

First Quarter Moneyline

The Bills are favored in the 1st Quarter Moneyline market, currently at -218, while the Chargers are +180.

  • The Chargers have a 7-9-4 first quarter W/L/T record since the beginning of last season, while the Bills hold a record of 11-7-3 across the same span.

Last Time They Met

The Bills recorded a 24-22 victory over the Chargers at SoFi Stadium when these teams last met in Week 16, 2023.