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NFL Prop Bets: Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots - Week 3

The New England Patriots (1-1) face the Jacksonville Jaguars (1-1) at EverBank Stadium for Week 3. Let's take a look at the NFL Prop Bets for Sunday's matchup. The Jaguars are favored to win at -162, currently marked as 3.0-point favorites, while the Patriots are at +136.

The total points line is set at 45.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108, meaning the implied expected score for the game is 24-21 Jacksonville.

  • The Patriots (-112) have a 15-7-1 ATS record since the beginning of last season, while the Jaguars (-108) hold a record of 13-7-0 across the same span.
  • The Patriots have a 12-11-0 O/U record since the beginning of last season (meaning 12 games have gone over the total points line and 11 have gone under). The Jaguars have an 11-8-1 O/U record over the same span.

Points on the board

  • The Patriots have scored 27.4 points per game since the beginning of last season (7th in the league). Comparatively, the Jaguars have averaged 27.4 over the same span (6th).
  • Defensively, the Patriots have conceded 17.7 points per game since the beginning of last season (2nd in the league), while the Jaguars have given up an average of 19.3 points over that span (6th).

Moving the chains

  • With an average of 371.2, the Patriots rank 6th in the league for total yards per game since the beginning of last season. Comparatively, the Jaguars rank 13th with 334.9 yards per game over the same span.
  • In terms of yards allowed, the Patriots have given up 291.5 per game since the beginning of last season (6th in the league), while the Jaguars have allowed an average of 306.6 (12th).

Ascendency in the air

  • The Patriots have recorded 243.0 passing yards per game since the beginning of last season (5th in the league). Comparatively, the Jaguars' defense has given up 220.0 passing yards per game (20th) across the same period.
  • Meanwhile, the Jaguars have recorded 220.3 passing yards per game since the beginning of last season (15th in the league), while the Patriots' defense is conceding 190.6 yards per game (9th) across the same period and although not rating significantly better, they may look to capitalise in this area.

Advantage on the ground

  • Looking at the ground game, the Patriots have recorded 128.2 rushing yards per game since the beginning of last season (6th in the league). Conversely, the Jaguars are giving up 86.6 rushing yards per game (1st) across the same period.
  • On the other hand, the Jaguars have recorded 114.6 rushing yards per game since the beginning of last season (19th in the league), while the Patriots are giving up 100.9 rushing yards per game (6th).

Protecting the ball

  • Looking at their ability to force turnovers, the Patriots have recorded 21 total takeaways since the beginning of last season (T20th in the league), failing to perform to the same level as the Jaguars, who have recorded 34 (2nd).
  • On offense, the Patriots have recorded 21 total giveaways since the beginning of last season (T14th in the league), while the Jaguars have recorded 19 (T8th).

First to Score

The Patriots are +105 to score first, while the Jaguars are -135.

  • The Patriots have scored first in 12 of their 23 games since the beginning of last season.
  • The Jaguars have scored first in 11 of their 20 games since the beginning of last season.

Which team will score the first touchdown?

The Patriots are +110 to record the first touchdown, while the Jaguars are -135.

  • The Patriots have recorded the first touchdown in 11 of their 23 games since the beginning of last season.
  • The Jaguars have recorded the first touchdown in 15 of their 19 games since the beginning of last season.

First Scoring Play

    Play Frequency Odds
    New England Touchdown8 / 23+250
    New England Field Goal4 / 23+373
    New England Safety0 / 23+6000
    Jacksonville Touchdown9 / 19+187
    Jacksonville Field Goal2 / 19+329
    Jacksonville Safety0 / 19+6800

Which team will get a quick start?

The Patriots are +124 to be the first team to reach 10 points, while the Jaguars are -153.

  • The Patriots have been the first to score 10 points in 16 of their 23 games since the beginning of last season.
  • The Jaguars have been the first to score 10 points in 14 of their 19 games since the beginning of last season.

First Quarter Moneyline

The Jaguars are favored in the 1st Quarter Moneyline market, currently at -142, while the Patriots are +120.

  • The Patriots have a 10-8-5 first quarter W/L/T record since the beginning of last season, while the Jaguars hold a record of 9-5-6 across the same span.

Last Time They Met

The Jaguars recorded a 32-16 victory over the Patriots at Wembley Stadium when these teams last met in Week 7, 2024.