MLB Prop Bets: Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals (September 10, 2025)

The Kansas City Royals (73-72) face the Cleveland Guardians (74-70) at Progressive Field on Wednesday at 6:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Jonathan Bowlan is the probable pitcher for the Royals, while Logan Allen is the probable pitcher for the Guardians. The Royals opened as favorites but this matchup has since become a pick'em, with both the Royals and Guardians at -110 to win. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110.

  • The Royals (+151) have a 69-76 Run Line record this season, while the Guardians (-186) hold a record of 76-68.
  • The Royals have a 61-83-1 O/U record this season (meaning 61 games have gone over the total runs line, 83 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Guardians have a 67-72-5 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Royals are averaging 3.8 runs per game this season (28th in the league). Comparatively, the Guardians are averaging 3.9 (27th).
  • In the field, the Royals are allowing only 3.9 runs per game this season (3rd in the league), while the Guardians are allowing an average of 4.2 runs (11th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Royals are at .244 (ranking 19th in the Major leagues), while the Guardians are batting .226 (30th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Guardians have hit 147 (22nd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Royals have managed 138 (T26th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Royals have recorded 543 RBIs to rank 28th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Guardians have recorded 544 RBIs to rank 27th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Guardians have an earned run average of 3.87 this season (11th in the Majors), while The Royals have an ERA of 3.68 (4th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Royals have recorded 1141 this season, ranking 23rd in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Guardians rank 19th for total strikeouts, recording 1189.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .244 against the Guardians this season (16th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Royals' opponents are at .241 (13th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2025.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Royals 38-23-84 20-9-46 18-14-38 18-12-36 20-11-48 0-0-0 1-4-5
    Guardians 30-26-88 18-12-40 12-14-48 16-11-33 14-15-55 0-0-0 3-2-5

Lead After Three Innings

The Royals are +100 to lead after three innings, while the Guardians are -130.

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2025.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Royals 54-51-40 28-23-24 26-28-16 27-22-17 27-29-23 0-0-0 4-5-1
    Guardians 52-51-41 27-24-19 25-27-22 25-19-16 27-32-25 0-0-0 5-2-3

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -115 and the YRFI is paying -115.

  • The NRFI is 82-63 in Royals games this season. The Guardians have an 82-62 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Guardians recorded a 2-0 victory over the Royals at Progressive Field yesterday. Jose Ramirez was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording an RBI.