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MLB Prop Bets: Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres (July 4, 2026)

The San Diego Padres (43-44) face the Los Angeles Dodgers (58-31) at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on Saturday at 10:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Griffin Canning is the probable pitcher for the Padres, while Yoshinobu Yamamoto is the probable pitcher for the Dodgers. The Dodgers are favored to win at -252, while the Padres are at +203. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -118 and UNDER at -102.

  • The Padres (-103) have a 42-45 Run Line record this season, while the Dodgers (-117) hold a record of 43-46.
  • The Padres have a 39-47-1 O/U record this season (meaning 39 games have gone over the total runs line, 47 have gone under and one has resulted in a push). The Dodgers have a 41-46-2 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Padres are averaging 3.9 runs per game this season (30th in the league). Comparatively, the Dodgers are averaging +1.4 more at 5.4 runs (2nd).
  • In the field, the Padres are allowing 4.4 runs per game this season (14th in the league), while the Dodgers are allowing an average of 3.5 runs (1st).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Dodgers are at an impressive .266 (ranking 1st in the Major leagues), while the Padres are batting an underwhelming .225 (30th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Dodgers have hit 121 (T3rd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Padres have managed 93 (22nd).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Dodgers have been outstanding this season, recording 450 RBIs to rank 2nd in the MLB. Comparatively, the Padres have performed poorly in this area, recording only 335 RBIs to rank T28th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Dodgers have an earned run average of 3.51 this season (4th in the Majors), while The Padres have an ERA of 4.25 (17th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Padres have recorded 711 this season, ranking 21st in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Dodgers rank 7th for total strikeouts, recording 787.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .216 against the Dodgers this season (1st in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Padres' opponents are at .249 (19th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Padres 12-16-59 6-8-30 6-8-27 6-5-25 6-11-34 0-0-2 2-1-7
    Dodgers 23-17-49 12-6-24 11-11-25 23-15-49 0-2-0 0-0-0 2-2-6

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Padres 26-35-26 14-18-12 11-16-14 8-13-15 18-22-11 1-1-0 6-4-0
    Dodgers 43-28-18 17-14-11 26-14-7 43-26-18 0-2-0 0-0-0 4-4-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -115 and the YRFI is paying -110.

  • The NRFI is 56-31 in Padres games this season. The Dodgers have a 46-43 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Dodgers recorded a shock 4-3 victory over the Padres at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium yesterday. Teoscar Hernandez went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 4 RBIs. The Dodgers have now won five straight at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium against the Padres.