MLB Prop Bets: Houston Astros vs Tampa Bay Rays (July 4, 2026)
The Tampa Bay Rays (52-33) face the Houston Astros (43-47) at Daikin Park on Saturday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Drew Rasmussen is the probable pitcher for the Rays, while Hunter Brown is the probable pitcher for the Astros. The Astros are favored to win at -111, while the Rays are at -108. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at +103 and UNDER at -124.
- The Rays (+158) have a 51-34 Run Line record this season, while the Astros (-193) hold a record of 43-47.
- The Rays have a 37-45-3 O/U record this season (meaning 37 games have gone over the total runs line, 45 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Astros have a 47-39-4 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Rays are averaging 4.6 runs per game this season (13th in the league). Comparatively, the Astros are averaging 4.5 (17th).
- In the field, the Rays are allowing 4.1 runs per game this season (8th in the league), while the Astros are allowing an average of 5.0 runs (25th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Rays are at .260 (ranking 3rd in the Major leagues), while the Astros are batting .241 (19th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Astros are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 117 to rank T5th. Alternatively, the Rays are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 81 (T26th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Rays have recorded 371 RBIs to rank 18th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Astros have recorded 383 RBIs to rank 15th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Rays have one of the strongest earned run averages this season, sitting at 3.68 (6th in the Majors), while the Astros are at the opposite end of the scale with an ERA of 4.75 (26th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Rays have recorded 670 this season, ranking 27th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Astros rank 9th for total strikeouts, recording 776.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .240 against the Astros this season (16th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Rays' opponents are at .232 (6th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | 24-16-45 | 13-9-21 | 11-7-24 | 17-14-26 | 7-2-19 | 0-0-0 | 4-3-3 |
| Astros | 28-24-38 | 15-12-18 | 13-12-20 | 8-9-14 | 20-15-24 | 0-0-0 | 1-2-7 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rays | 34-25-26 | 18-13-12 | 16-12-14 | 27-19-11 | 7-6-15 | 0-0-0 | 7-1-2 |
| Astros | 31-37-22 | 17-18-10 | 14-19-12 | 10-15-6 | 21-22-16 | 0-0-0 | 1-5-4 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -130 and the YRFI is paying +100.
- The NRFI is 41-44 in Rays games this season. The Astros have a 36-54 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Rays recorded a 3-1 victory over the Astros at Daikin Park yesterday. Nick Fortes was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a double and recording 2 RBIs.
