MLB Prop Bets: Athletics vs Miami Marlins (July 4, 2026)
The Miami Marlins (47-42) face the Athletics (41-47) at Sutter Health Park on Saturday at 9:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Sandy Alcantara is the probable pitcher for the Marlins, while Aaron Civale is the probable pitcher for the Athletics. The Marlins are favored to win at -125, while the Athletics are at +104. The total runs line is set at 11.0, with OVER at -106 and UNDER at -113.
- The Marlins (+119) have a 46-43 Run Line record this season, while the Athletics (-144) hold a record of 43-45.
- The Marlins have a 48-39-2 O/U record this season (meaning 48 games have gone over the total runs line, 39 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Athletics have a 43-41-4 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Marlins are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season (15th in the league). Comparatively, the Athletics are averaging 4.6 (12th).
- In the field, the Marlins are allowing 4.3 runs per game this season (11th in the league), while the Athletics are allowing an average of 5.4 runs (29th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Marlins are at .250 (ranking 7th in the Major leagues), while the Athletics are batting .248 (9th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Athletics have hit 113 (7th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Marlins have managed 84 (25th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Marlins have recorded 387 RBIs to rank 13th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Athletics have recorded 391 RBIs to rank 12th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Athletics have an earned run average of 5.04 this season (29th in the Majors), while The Marlins have an ERA of 4.08 (12th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Marlins have recorded 744 this season, ranking 14th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Athletics rank 13th for total strikeouts, recording 745.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of only .230 against the Marlins this season (5th in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Athletics' opponents are at .264 (29th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | 20-20-49 | 10-8-27 | 10-12-22 | 10-6-30 | 10-14-19 | 0-0-0 | 3-1-6 |
| Athletics | 19-25-44 | 11-15-19 | 8-10-25 | 8-9-16 | 11-16-28 | 0-0-0 | 0-2-8 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | 33-34-22 | 18-13-14 | 15-21-8 | 19-12-15 | 14-22-7 | 0-0-0 | 3-3-4 |
| Athletics | 34-34-20 | 18-19-8 | 16-15-12 | 11-14-8 | 23-20-12 | 0-0-0 | 2-4-4 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying +130 and the YRFI is paying -165.
- The NRFI is 43-46 in Marlins games this season. The Athletics have a 40-48 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Marlins recorded a 12-5 victory over the Athletics at Sutter Health Park yesterday. Kyle Stowers dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 2 home runs, 2 singles and 3 RBIs.
