MLB Prop Bets: Kansas City Royals vs Philadelphia Phillies (July 4, 2026)
The Philadelphia Phillies (49-39) face the Kansas City Royals (35-53) at Kauffman Stadium on Saturday at 8:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Jesus Luzardo is the probable pitcher for the Phillies, while Michael Wacha is the probable pitcher for the Royals. The Phillies are favored to win at -157, while the Royals are at +130. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at -111 and UNDER at -109.
- The Phillies (+107) have a 35-53 Run Line record this season, while the Royals (-129) hold a record of 39-49.
- The Phillies have a 38-46-4 O/U record this season (meaning 38 games have gone over the total runs line, 46 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Royals have a 43-43-2 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Phillies are averaging 4.5 runs per game this season (16th in the league). Comparatively, the Royals are averaging 4.1 (23rd).
- In the field, the Phillies are allowing 4.4 runs per game this season (13th in the league), while the Royals are allowing an average of 5.1 runs (26th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Phillies are at .237 (ranking 23rd in the Major leagues), while the Royals are batting .242 (17th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Royals have hit 87 (24th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Phillies have managed 117 (T5th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Phillies have recorded 381 RBIs to rank 16th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Royals have recorded 345 RBIs to rank T22nd.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Royals have an earned run average of 4.87 this season (28th in the Majors), while The Phillies have an ERA of 4.14 (14th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Phillies have recorded an impressive 849 this season, ranking 2nd in the MLB. Contrastingly, the Royals rank T25th for total strikeouts, recording only 671.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .262 against the Royals this season (28th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Phillies' opponents are at .256 (26th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | 26-20-42 | 15-9-22 | 11-11-20 | 23-14-28 | 3-6-14 | 0-0-0 | 2-2-6 |
| Royals | 18-24-46 | 8-13-23 | 10-11-23 | 5-9-21 | 13-15-25 | 0-0-0 | 3-3-4 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | 37-34-17 | 22-16-8 | 15-18-9 | 31-24-10 | 6-10-7 | 0-0-0 | 7-3-0 |
| Royals | 27-45-16 | 14-22-8 | 13-23-8 | 10-19-6 | 17-26-10 | 0-0-0 | 2-6-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -110 and the YRFI is paying -115.
- The NRFI is 41-47 in Phillies games this season. The Royals have a 43-45 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Royals recorded a 10-3 victory over the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park when these teams last met on September 14, 2025. Salvador Perez was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 5 RBIs. That result snapped the Phillies' four-game winning streak against the Royals.
