MLB Prop Bets: Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox (July 4, 2026)
The Chicago White Sox (45-42) face the Cleveland Guardians (47-42) at Progressive Field on Saturday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Sean Burke is the probable pitcher for the White Sox, while Parker Messick is the probable pitcher for the Guardians. The Guardians are favored to win at -149, while the White Sox are at +123. The total runs line is set at 7.5, with OVER at -114 and UNDER at -105.
- The White Sox (-175) have a 49-38 Run Line record this season, while the Guardians (+144) hold a record of 41-48.
- The White Sox have a 50-35-2 O/U record this season (meaning 50 games have gone over the total runs line, 35 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Guardians have a 43-46-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The White Sox are averaging 4.8 runs per game this season (9th in the league). Comparatively, the Guardians are averaging only 4.0 (27th).
- In the field, the White Sox are allowing 4.5 runs per game this season (16th in the league), while the Guardians are allowing an average of 4.1 runs (7th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the White Sox are at .241 (ranking 18th in the Major leagues), while the Guardians are batting .229 (28th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the White Sox are one of the best in the Major Leagues, hitting 121 to rank T3rd. Alternatively, the Guardians are at the opposite end of the home run standings, hitting just 81 (T26th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the White Sox have recorded 400 RBIs to rank 9th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Guardians have recorded 338 RBIs to rank 27th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Guardians have an earned run average of 3.77 this season (7th in the Majors), while The White Sox have an ERA of 4.24 (16th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the White Sox have recorded 729 this season, ranking 17th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Guardians rank 4th for total strikeouts, recording 809.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .237 against the Guardians this season (9th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the White Sox's opponents are at .239 (14th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| White Sox | 23-23-41 | 11-11-20 | 12-12-21 | 3-3-11 | 20-20-30 | 0-0-0 | 2-1-7 |
| Guardians | 18-16-55 | 11-7-26 | 7-9-29 | 11-8-30 | 7-8-25 | 0-0-0 | 2-0-8 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| White Sox | 33-30-24 | 17-13-12 | 16-17-12 | 6-5-6 | 27-25-18 | 0-0-0 | 3-2-5 |
| Guardians | 33-26-30 | 20-11-13 | 13-15-17 | 20-13-16 | 13-13-14 | 0-0-0 | 3-1-6 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -135 and the YRFI is paying +105.
- The NRFI is 38-49 in White Sox games this season. The Guardians have a 52-37 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Guardians recorded a 4-3 extra innings victory over the White Sox at Progressive Field yesterday. Miguel Vargas was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 3 RBIs. The Guardians have now won nine straight at Progressive Field against the White Sox.
