MLB Prop Bets: Cincinnati Reds vs Baltimore Orioles (July 4, 2026)
The Baltimore Orioles (41-48) face the Cincinnati Reds (40-47) at Great American Ball Park on Saturday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Brandon Young is the probable pitcher for the Orioles, while Hunter Greene is the probable pitcher for the Reds. The Reds are favored to win at -125, while the Orioles are at +104. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at -122 and UNDER at +101.
- The Orioles (-194) have a 44-45 Run Line record this season, while the Reds (+159) hold a record of 47-40.
- The Orioles have a 47-37-5 O/U record this season (meaning 47 games have gone over the total runs line, 37 have gone under and five have resulted in a push). The Reds have a 50-37-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Orioles are averaging 4.6 runs per game this season (14th in the league). Comparatively, the Reds are averaging 4.2 (21st).
- In the field, the Orioles are allowing 4.9 runs per game this season (T22nd in the league), while the Reds are allowing an average of 4.9 runs (21st).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Orioles are at .238 (ranking 21st in the Major leagues), while the Reds are batting .227 (29th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Reds have hit 106 (12th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Orioles have managed 103 (T14th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Orioles have recorded 393 RBIs to rank 11th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Reds have recorded 345 RBIs to rank T22nd.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Reds have an earned run average of 4.56 this season (23rd in the Majors), while The Orioles have an ERA of 4.34 (20th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Orioles have recorded 712 this season, ranking 20th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Reds rank 23rd for total strikeouts, recording 699.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .249 against the Reds this season (20th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Orioles' opponents are at .253 (23rd).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | 16-23-50 | 8-10-29 | 8-13-21 | 9-8-28 | 7-15-22 | 0-0-0 | 4-3-3 |
| Reds | 19-24-44 | 9-10-23 | 10-14-21 | 7-4-14 | 12-20-30 | 0-0-0 | 4-3-3 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | 30-35-24 | 18-17-12 | 12-18-12 | 13-18-14 | 17-17-10 | 0-0-0 | 3-4-3 |
| Reds | 27-37-23 | 13-18-11 | 14-19-12 | 9-9-7 | 18-28-16 | 0-0-0 | 3-4-3 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying +100 and the YRFI is paying -130.
- The NRFI is 45-44 in Orioles games this season. The Reds have a 42-45 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Orioles recorded a 3-0 victory over the Reds at Great American Ball Park yesterday. Samuel Basallo went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 2 RBIs. The Orioles have now won four straight at Great American Ball Park against the Reds.
