MLB Prop Bets: Chicago Cubs vs St. Louis Cardinals (July 4, 2026)
The St. Louis Cardinals (46-39) face the Chicago Cubs (49-39) at Wrigley Field on Saturday at 8:08pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Kyle Leahy is the probable pitcher for the Cardinals, while Shota Imanaga is the probable pitcher for the Cubs. The Cubs are favored to win at -167, while the Cardinals are at +138. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -117 and UNDER at -103.
- The Cardinals (-155) have a 49-36 Run Line record this season, while the Cubs (+128) hold a record of 37-51.
- The Cardinals have a 37-45-3 O/U record this season (meaning 37 games have gone over the total runs line, 45 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Cubs have a 47-39-2 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Cardinals are averaging 4.7 runs per game this season (11th in the league). Comparatively, the Cubs are averaging 5.1 (5th).
- In the field, the Cardinals are allowing 4.5 runs per game this season (15th in the league), while the Cubs are allowing an average of 4.6 runs (18th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Cardinals are at .248 (ranking 10th in the Major leagues), while the Cubs are batting .245 (15th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Cubs have hit 112 (T8th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Cardinals have managed 97 (19th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Cardinals have recorded 384 RBIs to rank 14th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Cubs have recorded 420 RBIs to rank 4th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Cubs have an earned run average of 4.38 this season (21st in the Majors), while The Cardinals have an ERA of 4.19 (15th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Cardinals have recorded 635 this season, ranking 28th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Cubs rank 24th for total strikeouts, recording 687.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .244 against the Cubs this season (18th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Cardinals' opponents are at .253 (24th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | 15-16-54 | 5-8-31 | 10-8-23 | 6-6-13 | 9-10-41 | 0-0-0 | 0-2-8 |
| Cubs | 16-17-55 | 10-8-26 | 6-9-29 | 14-8-39 | 2-9-16 | 0-0-0 | 1-1-8 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cardinals | 36-24-25 | 18-11-15 | 18-13-10 | 13-6-6 | 23-18-19 | 0-0-0 | 4-4-2 |
| Cubs | 34-29-25 | 22-13-9 | 12-16-16 | 29-17-15 | 5-12-10 | 0-0-0 | 2-5-3 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -110 and the YRFI is paying -120.
- The NRFI is 46-39 in Cardinals games this season. The Cubs have a 53-35 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Cardinals recorded a lopsided 17-1 victory against the Cubs at Wrigley Field yesterday. Masyn Winn was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording 4 RBIs. That result snapped the Cubs' four-game winning streak against the Cardinals at Wrigley Field.
