MLB Prop Bets: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves (July 7, 2026)
The Atlanta Braves (52-37) face the Pittsburgh Pirates (46-45) at PNC Park on Tuesday at 6:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Hurston Waldrep is the probable pitcher for the Braves, while Paul Skenes is the probable pitcher for the Pirates. The Pirates are favored to win at -168, while the Braves are at +139. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -109.
- The Braves (-156) have a 51-38 Run Line record this season, while the Pirates (+129) hold a record of 44-47.
- The Braves have a 42-39-8 O/U record this season (meaning 42 games have gone over the total runs line, 39 have gone under and eight have resulted in a push). The Pirates have a 51-37-3 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Braves are averaging 4.9 runs per game this season (7th in the league). Comparatively, the Pirates are averaging 5.2 (3rd).
- In the field, the Braves are allowing only 3.8 runs per game this season (4th in the league), while the Pirates are allowing an average of 4.9 runs (22nd).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Braves are at .248 (ranking 9th in the Major leagues), while the Pirates are batting .262 (2nd).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Pirates have hit 114 (T9th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Braves have managed 116 (8th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Braves have recorded 425 RBIs to rank 7th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Pirates have recorded 455 RBIs to rank 3rd.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Pirates have an earned run average of 4.27 this season (19th in the Majors), while The Braves have an ERA of 3.55 (5th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Braves have recorded 756 this season, ranking T14th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Pirates rank 4th for total strikeouts, recording 829.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .238 against the Pirates this season (13th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Braves' opponents are at .229 (4th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | 23-20-46 | 14-6-25 | 9-14-21 | 19-17-30 | 4-3-16 | 0-0-0 | 2-1-7 |
| Pirates | 29-15-47 | 16-7-22 | 13-8-25 | 19-6-24 | 10-9-23 | 0-0-0 | 1-3-6 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Braves are +140 to lead after three innings, while the Pirates are -180.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | 38-31-20 | 22-13-10 | 16-18-10 | 32-19-15 | 6-12-5 | 0-0-0 | 7-2-1 |
| Pirates | 40-32-19 | 25-10-10 | 15-22-9 | 25-14-10 | 15-18-9 | 0-0-0 | 4-6-0 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -130 and the YRFI is paying +100.
- The NRFI is 42-47 in Braves games this season. The Pirates have a 44-47 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Braves recorded a 3-2 victory over the Pirates at Truist Park when these teams last met on June 7. Spencer Horwitz was unstoppable in that matchup, hitting a home run, a single and recording an RBI. The Braves have now won four straight against the Pirates.
