MLB Prop Bets: Minnesota Twins vs Cleveland Guardians (July 7, 2026)
The Cleveland Guardians (47-44) face the Minnesota Twins (44-47) at Target Field on Tuesday at 7:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Joey Cantillo is the probable pitcher for the Guardians, while Taj Bradley is the probable pitcher for the Twins. The Twins are favored to win at -120, while the Guardians are at -101. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108.
- The Guardians (+164) have a 41-50 Run Line record this season, while the Twins (-200) hold a record of 50-41.
- The Guardians have a 44-47-0 O/U record this season (meaning 44 games have gone over the total runs line and 47 have gone under). The Twins have a 53-32-6 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Guardians are averaging 4.0 runs per game this season (28th in the league). Comparatively, the Twins are averaging +0.9 more at 4.9 runs (6th).
- In the field, the Guardians are allowing 4.1 runs per game this season (7th in the league), while the Twins are allowing an average of 5.1 runs (27th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Guardians are at .230 (ranking 28th in the Major leagues), while the Twins are batting .247 (12th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Twins have hit 117 (7th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Guardians have managed 84 (T26th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Twins have been outstanding this season, recording 426 RBIs to rank 6th in the MLB. Comparatively, the Guardians have performed poorly in this area, recording only 345 RBIs to rank 27th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Twins have an earned run average of 4.78 this season (26th in the Majors), while The Guardians have an ERA of 3.80 (9th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Guardians have recorded 820 this season, ranking 5th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Twins rank 18th for total strikeouts, recording 746.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .254 against the Twins this season (25th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Guardians' opponents are at .238 (11th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | 19-17-55 | 12-8-26 | 7-9-29 | 12-9-30 | 7-8-25 | 0-0-0 | 3-1-6 |
| Twins | 24-22-45 | 11-10-24 | 13-12-21 | 6-6-9 | 18-16-36 | 0-0-0 | 5-1-4 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | 33-28-30 | 20-13-13 | 13-15-17 | 20-15-16 | 13-13-14 | 0-0-0 | 3-3-4 |
| Twins | 37-34-20 | 17-15-13 | 20-19-7 | 9-7-5 | 28-27-15 | 0-0-0 | 5-3-2 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -115 and the YRFI is paying -110.
- The NRFI is 52-39 in Guardians games this season. The Twins have a 38-53 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Twins recorded a 5-4 victory over the Guardians at Progressive Field when these teams last met on May 10. Kody Clemens led the way to that victory, hitting a home run.
