MLB Prop Bets: Washington Nationals vs Houston Astros (July 7, 2026)
The Houston Astros (45-48) face the Washington Nationals (47-45) at Nationals Park on Tuesday at 6:45pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Tatsuya Imai is the probable pitcher for the Astros, while Andrew Alvarez is the probable pitcher for the Nationals. The Nationals are favored to win at -122, while the Astros are at +101. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at -115 and UNDER at -104.
- The Astros (+155) have a 46-47 Run Line record this season, while the Nationals (-189) hold a record of 57-35.
- The Astros have a 49-40-4 O/U record this season (meaning 49 games have gone over the total runs line, 40 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Nationals have a 55-34-3 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Astros are averaging 4.6 runs per game this season (15th in the league). Comparatively, the Nationals are averaging +0.8 more at 5.4 runs (1st).
- In the field, the Astros are allowing a whopping 5.0 runs per game this season (26th in the league), while the Nationals are allowing an average of 5.3 runs (28th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Astros are at .242 (ranking 18th in the Major leagues), while the Nationals are batting .250 (8th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Nationals have hit 128 (2nd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Astros have managed 125 (T3rd).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Astros have recorded 405 RBIs to rank 11th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Nationals have recorded 473 RBIs to rank 1st.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Nationals have an earned run average of 4.79 this season (27th in the Majors), while The Astros have an ERA of 4.76 (25th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Astros have recorded 804 this season, ranking 9th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Nationals rank 21st for total strikeouts, recording 726.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .259 against the Nationals this season (27th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Astros' opponents are at .241 (16th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | 29-24-40 | 16-12-19 | 13-12-21 | 9-9-15 | 20-15-25 | 0-0-0 | 1-2-7 |
| Nationals | 27-18-47 | 15-8-23 | 12-10-24 | 5-3-7 | 22-15-40 | 0-0-0 | 2-3-5 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | 31-38-24 | 17-19-11 | 14-19-13 | 10-16-7 | 21-22-17 | 0-0-0 | 0-6-4 |
| Nationals | 37-29-26 | 20-15-11 | 17-14-15 | 9-2-4 | 28-27-22 | 0-0-0 | 3-4-3 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -130 and the YRFI is paying +100.
- The NRFI is 37-56 in Astros games this season. The Nationals have a 44-48 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Nationals recorded a 12-11 victory over the Astros at Nationals Park yesterday. James Wood went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 4 RBIs. The Nationals have now won three straight at Nationals Park against the Astros.
