MLB Prop Bets: New York Mets vs Kansas City Royals (July 7, 2026)
The Kansas City Royals (37-54) face the New York Mets (38-53) at Citi Field on Tuesday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Seth Lugo is the probable pitcher for the Royals, while the Mets' probable pitcher remains unclear. The Mets are favored to win at -156, while the Royals are at +129. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -108 and UNDER at -112.
- The Royals (-171) have a 41-50 Run Line record this season, while the Mets (+141) hold a record of 39-52.
- The Royals have a 44-45-2 O/U record this season (meaning 44 games have gone over the total runs line, 45 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Mets have a 42-43-6 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Royals are averaging 4.2 runs per game this season (20th in the league). Comparatively, the Mets are averaging 4.1 (27th).
- In the field, the Royals are allowing 5.0 runs per game this season (24th in the league), while the Mets are allowing an average of 4.7 runs (19th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Royals are at .245 (ranking 13th in the Major leagues), while the Mets are batting .232 (26th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Mets have hit 105 (T14th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Royals have managed 91 (T23rd).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Royals have recorded 365 RBIs to rank 20th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Mets have recorded 355 RBIs to rank 24th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Mets have an earned run average of 4.27 this season (18th in the Majors), while The Royals have an ERA of 4.79 (28th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Mets have recorded an impressive 833 this season, ranking 3rd in the MLB. Contrastingly, the Royals rank 26th for total strikeouts, recording only 699.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .237 against the Mets this season (9th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Royals' opponents are at .262 (28th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royals | 20-24-47 | 10-13-24 | 10-11-23 | 5-9-21 | 15-15-26 | 0-0-0 | 4-3-3 |
| Mets | 19-22-50 | 13-8-22 | 6-14-28 | 17-12-29 | 2-10-21 | 0-0-0 | 0-4-6 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Royals | 29-45-17 | 16-22-9 | 13-23-8 | 10-19-6 | 19-26-11 | 0-0-0 | 2-5-3 |
| Mets | 26-45-20 | 15-21-7 | 11-24-13 | 20-25-13 | 6-20-7 | 0-0-0 | 1-8-1 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -130 and the YRFI is paying +100.
- The NRFI is 44-47 in Royals games this season. The Mets have a 47-44 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Royals recorded a 3-2 victory over the Mets at Kauffman Stadium when these teams last met on July 13, 2025. Despite being on the wrong side of that result, Jeff McNeil did what he could, hitting a home run. That result snapped the Mets' three-game winning streak against the Royals.
