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MLB Prop Bets: Baltimore Orioles vs Chicago Cubs (July 7, 2026)

The Chicago Cubs (50-40) face the Baltimore Orioles (42-49) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Tuesday at 6:35pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Matthew Boyd is the probable pitcher for the Cubs, while Shane Baz is the probable pitcher for the Orioles. The Cubs are favored to win at -120, while the Orioles are at +100. The total runs line is set at 9.5, with OVER at -102 and UNDER at -118.

  • The Cubs (+135) have a 38-52 Run Line record this season, while the Orioles (-163) hold a record of 45-46.
  • The Cubs have a 48-40-2 O/U record this season (meaning 48 games have gone over the total runs line, 40 have gone under and two have resulted in a push). The Orioles have a 48-38-5 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Cubs are averaging 5.1 runs per game this season (5th in the league). Comparatively, the Orioles are averaging 4.6 (14th).
  • In the field, the Cubs are allowing 4.5 runs per game this season (18th in the league), while the Orioles are allowing an average of 4.9 runs (23rd).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Cubs are at .244 (ranking 14th in the Major leagues), while the Orioles are batting .238 (20th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Orioles have hit 104 (T17th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Cubs have managed 112 (11th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Cubs have recorded 424 RBIs to rank 8th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Orioles have recorded 403 RBIs to rank T12th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Orioles have an earned run average of 4.34 this season (20th in the Majors), while The Cubs have an ERA of 4.36 (21st).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Cubs have recorded 705 this season, ranking 24th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Orioles rank 22nd for total strikeouts, recording 723.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .253 against the Orioles this season (24th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Cubs' opponents are at .244 (18th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Cubs 17-18-55 11-9-26 6-9-29 15-9-39 2-9-16 0-0-0 2-2-6
    Orioles 17-23-51 8-10-29 9-13-22 9-8-29 8-15-22 0-0-0 4-2-4

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Cubs 35-30-25 23-14-9 12-16-16 30-18-15 5-12-10 0-0-0 3-5-2
    Orioles 30-36-25 18-17-12 12-19-13 13-18-15 17-18-10 0-0-0 2-4-4

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -115 and the YRFI is paying -115.

  • The NRFI is 53-37 in Cubs games this season. The Orioles have a 46-45 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Cubs recorded a 5-3 victory over the Orioles at Wrigley Field when these teams last met on August 3, 2025. Justin Turner went yard en route to that victory, hitting a home run to go with 2 RBIs.