MLB Prop Bets: Cincinnati Reds vs Philadelphia Phillies (July 7, 2026)
The Philadelphia Phillies (50-41) face the Cincinnati Reds (41-48) at Great American Ball Park on Tuesday at 7:10pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Zack Wheeler is the probable pitcher for the Phillies, while Andrew Abbott is the probable pitcher for the Reds. The Phillies are favored to win at -171, while the Reds are at +141. The total runs line is set at 8.5, with OVER at -116 and UNDER at -104.
- The Phillies (+100) have a 36-55 Run Line record this season, while the Reds (-120) hold a record of 48-41.
- The Phillies have a 39-48-4 O/U record this season (meaning 39 games have gone over the total runs line, 48 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Reds have a 51-38-0 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Phillies are averaging 4.4 runs per game this season (17th in the league). Comparatively, the Reds are averaging 4.2 (22nd).
- In the field, the Phillies are allowing 4.5 runs per game this season (15th in the league), while the Reds are allowing an average of 4.9 runs (21st).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Phillies are at .238 (ranking 21st in the Major leagues), while the Reds are batting .228 (29th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Reds have hit 107 (13th in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Phillies have managed 120 (6th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Phillies have recorded 389 RBIs to rank 16th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Reds have recorded 353 RBIs to rank 25th.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Reds have an earned run average of 4.57 this season (23rd in the Majors), while The Phillies have an ERA of 4.25 (16th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Phillies have recorded 877 this season, ranking 1st in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Reds rank 23rd for total strikeouts, recording 715.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of .249 against the Reds this season (20th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Phillies' opponents are at .258 (26th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | 26-22-43 | 15-9-22 | 11-13-21 | 23-16-29 | 3-6-14 | 0-0-0 | 2-2-6 |
| Reds | 19-25-45 | 9-11-24 | 10-14-21 | 7-5-14 | 12-20-31 | 0-0-0 | 4-4-2 |
Lead After Three Innings
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | 37-36-18 | 22-16-8 | 15-20-10 | 31-26-11 | 6-10-7 | 0-0-0 | 7-2-1 |
| Reds | 28-37-24 | 14-18-12 | 14-19-12 | 10-9-7 | 18-28-17 | 0-0-0 | 4-3-3 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -125 and the YRFI is paying -105.
- The NRFI is 42-49 in Phillies games this season. The Reds have a 43-46 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Reds recorded a 9-4 victory over the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park when these teams last met on May 20. Sal Stewart dominated at the plate in that matchup, notching 1 home run, 2 singles and 2 RBIs.
