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MLB Prop Bets: Miami Marlins vs Seattle Mariners (July 7, 2026)

The Seattle Mariners (47-44) face the Miami Marlins (49-42) at LoanDepot Park on Tuesday at 6:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Bryan Woo is the probable pitcher for the Mariners, while Max Meyer is the probable pitcher for the Marlins. The Marlins are favored to win at -118, while the Mariners are at -102. The total runs line is set at 8.0, with OVER at -110 and UNDER at -110.

  • The Mariners (+162) have a 39-52 Run Line record this season, while the Marlins (-198) hold a record of 48-43.
  • The Mariners have a 43-44-4 O/U record this season (meaning 43 games have gone over the total runs line, 44 have gone under and four have resulted in a push). The Marlins have a 49-40-2 O/U record.

Scoring Insights

  • The Mariners are averaging 4.1 runs per game this season (24th in the league). Comparatively, the Marlins are averaging +0.5 more at 4.6 runs (13th).
  • In the field, the Mariners are allowing only 3.8 runs per game this season (3rd in the league), while the Marlins are allowing an average of 4.3 runs (11th).

Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.

Batting Insights:

Batting Average

  • Looking at their batting averages this season, the Mariners are at .231 (ranking 27th in the Major leagues), while the Marlins are batting .254 (7th).

Home Runs

  • In terms of total home runs this season, the Marlins have hit 91 (T23rd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Mariners have managed 109 (12th).

Runs Batted In

  • Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Mariners have recorded 360 RBIs to rank 23rd in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Marlins have recorded 403 RBIs to rank T12th.

Pitching Insights:

Earned Run Average

  • The Marlins have an earned run average of 4.09 this season (11th in the Majors), while The Mariners have an ERA of 3.55 (4th).

Strikeouts

  • Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Mariners have recorded 787 this season, ranking 11th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Marlins rank T12th for total strikeouts, recording 763.

Opponent Batting Average

  • Opponents are batting an average of .230 against the Marlins this season (5th in the Major Leagues). Comparatively, the Mariners' opponents are at .236 (8th).

First Innings Moneyline

  • Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Mariners 22-20-49 13-11-23 9-9-26 21-17-41 1-3-8 0-0-0 0-3-7
    Marlins 21-20-50 10-8-27 11-12-23 10-6-31 11-14-19 0-0-0 4-1-5

Lead After Three Innings

  • Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
    Total Home Road Favorite Underdog Neutral Last 10
    Mariners 39-29-23 22-14-11 17-15-12 32-26-21 7-3-2 0-0-0 3-3-4
    Marlins 35-34-22 18-13-14 17-21-8 20-12-15 15-22-7 0-0-0 5-3-2

NRFI/YRFI

The NRFI market is paying -135 and the YRFI is paying +105.

  • The NRFI is 44-47 in Mariners games this season. The Marlins also have a 44-47 NRFI record.

Last Time They Met

The Mariners recorded a 7-6 victory over the Marlins at T-Mobile Park when these teams last met on April 27, 2025. Agustin Ramirez was crushing the ball in that matchup, hitting 2 home runs and recording 2 RBIs.