MLB Prop Bets: Kansas City Royals vs Miami Marlins (September 3, 2026)
The Miami Marlins (71-69) face the Kansas City Royals (62-78) at Kauffman Stadium on Thursday at 7:40pm (ET). Let's take a look at the MLB Prop Bets for the matchup. Sandy Alcantara is the probable pitcher for the Marlins, while Michael Wacha is the probable pitcher for the Royals. The Marlins are favored to win at -120, while the Royals are at +100. The total runs line is set at 9.0, with OVER at -112 and UNDER at -108.
- These teams share a 70-70 Run Line record this season. The Marlins are +133 to cover the run line while the Royals are -161.
- The Marlins have a 68-69-3 O/U record this season (meaning 68 games have gone over the total runs line, 69 have gone under and three have resulted in a push). The Royals have a 64-70-6 O/U record.
Scoring Insights
- The Marlins are averaging 4.4 runs per game this season (19th in the league). Comparatively, the Royals are averaging 4.3 (21st).
- In the field, the Marlins are allowing 4.2 runs per game this season (10th in the league), while the Royals are allowing an average of 4.9 runs (25th).
Let's take a look at how these teams perform in some other key statistical areas.
Batting Insights:
Batting Average
- Looking at their batting averages this season, the Marlins are at .248 (ranking 9th in the Major leagues), while the Royals are batting .247 (12th).
Home Runs
- In terms of total home runs this season, the Royals have hit 145 (22nd in the Major Leagues). Meanwhile, the Marlins have managed 142 (25th).
Runs Batted In
- Finally, looking at their runs batted in, the Marlins have recorded 583 RBIs to rank 19th in the MLB this season. Comparatively, the Royals have recorded 570 RBIs to rank 22nd.
Pitching Insights:
Earned Run Average
- The Royals have an earned run average of 4.72 this season (28th in the Majors), while The Marlins have an ERA of 3.93 (9th).
Strikeouts
- Turning our attention to total strikeouts, the Marlins have recorded 1137 this season, ranking 19th in the MLB. Meanwhile, the Royals rank 28th for total strikeouts, recording 1020.
Opponent Batting Average
- Opponents are batting an average of only .231 against the Marlins this season (4th in the Major Leagues). Alternatively, the Royals' opponents are at .258 (28th).
First Innings Moneyline
- Here are their first innings moneyline records in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | 27-25-88 | 15-10-44 | 12-15-44 | 14-7-45 | 13-18-43 | 0-0-0 | 2-1-7 |
| Royals | 32-34-74 | 18-17-33 | 14-17-41 | 10-12-27 | 22-22-47 | 0-0-0 | 2-2-6 |
Lead After Three Innings
The Marlins are -120 to lead after three innings, while the Royals are -110.
- Here are their records after the first three innings in 2026.
| Total | Home | Road | Favorite | Underdog | Neutral | Last 10 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | 54-51-35 | 33-18-18 | 21-33-17 | 29-16-21 | 25-35-14 | 0-0-0 | 4-4-2 |
| Royals | 45-63-32 | 27-28-13 | 18-35-19 | 15-24-10 | 30-39-22 | 0-0-0 | 4-3-3 |
NRFI/YRFI
The NRFI market is paying -105 and the YRFI is paying -125.
- The NRFI is 81-59 in Marlins games this season. The Royals have a 70-70 NRFI record.
Last Time They Met
The Marlins recorded a 9-6 victory over the Royals at Kauffman Stadium yesterday. Carter Jensen was crushing the ball in that matchup, hitting 2 home runs and recording 2 RBIs.
